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E-raamat: Decision Framework for Managing the Spirit Lake and Toutle River System at Mount St. Helens

  • Formaat: 336 pages
  • Ilmumisaeg: 29-Mar-2018
  • Kirjastus: National Academies Press
  • Keel: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9780309464475
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  • Formaat: 336 pages
  • Ilmumisaeg: 29-Mar-2018
  • Kirjastus: National Academies Press
  • Keel: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9780309464475

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The 1980 eruption of Mount St. Helens in southwest Washington State radically changed the physical and socio-economic landscapes of the region. The eruption destroyed the summit of the volcano, sending large amounts of debris into the North Fork Toutle River, and blocking the sole means of drainage from Spirit Lake 4 miles north of Mount St. Helens. As a result of the blockage, rising lake levels could cause failure of the debris blockage, putting the downstream population of approximately 50,000 at risk of catastrophic flooding and mud flows. Further, continued transport of sediment to the river from volcanic debris deposits surrounding the mountain reduces the flood carrying capacity of downstream river channels and leaves the population vulnerable to chronic flooding.





The legacy of the 1980 eruption and the prospect of future volcanic, seismic, and flood events mean that risk management in the Spirit Lake Toutle River system will be challenging for decades to come. This report offers a decision framework to support the long-term management of risks related to the Spirit Lake and Toutle River system in light of the different regional economic, cultural, and social priorities, and the respective roles of federal, tribal, state, and local authorities, as well as other entities and groups in the region. It also considers the history and adequacy of characterization, monitoring, and management associated with the Spirit Lake debris blockage and outflow tunnel, other efforts to control transport of water and sediment from the 1980 and later eruptions, and suggests additional information needed to support implementation of the recommended decision framework.

Table of Contents



Front Matter Summary 1 Introduction 2 Regional Setting 3 Institutional Setting: Developing a Common Understanding 4 Natural Hazards 5 The Engineered Landscape 6 Choosing a Decision Framework and Identifying the Decision Problem 7 Identifying Decision Objectives and Alternatives 8 Decision Consequences and Trade-Offs 9 Applying the Decision Framework References Appendix A: Biographical Sketches of Committee Members Appendix B: Meeting Agendas Appendix C: Board Rosters Appendix D: Congressional Request Letter
Summary 1(18)
1 Introduction
19(24)
The Charge to the Committee
25(2)
Committee Membership
27(1)
Institutional Setting
27(1)
Natural Hazards Affecting Regional Management
28(1)
The Current Decision Landscape
29(2)
Defining Terms in the Statement of Task
31(6)
Committee Approach to Its Task
37(3)
Report Organization
40(3)
2 Regional Setting
43(40)
Physical Geography
43(7)
Geologic Setting
50(10)
Groundwater Hydrology
60(4)
Ecological Setting
64(7)
Hydraulic Infrastructure
71(6)
Socio-Demographic and Economic Setting
77(3)
How the Setting Affects System Risk Assessment and Long-Term Management
80(3)
3 Institutional Setting: Developing A Common Understanding
83(44)
Pre-Eruption (1980) Management Context: Spirit Lake and Mount St. Helens
85(2)
Land Ownership in the Broader Toutle River Valley Circa 1980
87(1)
Post-Event Management Responses to the Eruption (1980-1989)
88(10)
Ongoing Management Setting (1990-Present)
98(13)
Interested and Affected Parties
111(9)
A Common Understanding for System Management
120(7)
4 Natural Hazards
127(26)
Meteorological Input and Chronic Flooding
129(5)
Volcanic Hazards
134(3)
Seismic Hazards
137(8)
Catastrophic Flooding and the Spirit Lake Debris Blockage
145(5)
Ongoing Monitoring
150(3)
5 The Engineered Landscape
153(42)
Spirit Lake Water Levels and Risk of Catastrophic Flooding
154(18)
Managing Sediments
172(7)
Managing Chronic Flood Risk
179(5)
Short- and Long-Term Management
184(2)
Operational Risk
186(2)
Integration Using Probabilistic Risk Assessment
188(6)
Leveraging Resources and Expertise
194(1)
6 Choosing A Decision Framework and Identifying the Decision Problem
195(28)
Choosing a Decision Framework
196(8)
The Decision Problem
204(19)
7 Identifying Decision Objectives and Alternatives
223(24)
The Objectives
223(14)
The Alternatives
237(10)
8 Decision Consequences and Trade-Offs
247(26)
What Are the Consequences?
247(11)
What Are the Trade-Offs?
258(11)
Compatibility of a PrOACT-Like Process with Agency Processes
269(4)
9 Applying the Decision Framework
273(12)
Changing Mind-Sets
276(2)
System Thinking
278(1)
First Steps
279(3)
Implementing the Framework
282(3)
REFERENCES
285(12)
APPENDIXES
A Biographical Sketches of Committee Members
297(6)
B Meeting Agendas
303(10)
C Board Rosters
313(4)
D Congressional Request Letter
317