Summary |
|
1 | (14) |
|
|
15 | (30) |
|
1.1 National Security and the Role of Technology |
|
|
15 | (2) |
|
1.2 Ethical, Legal, and Societal Issues in Science and Technology |
|
|
17 | (6) |
|
1.3 ELSI Considerations for Science and Technology in a National Security Context |
|
|
23 | (5) |
|
1.4 Emerging and Readily Available Technologies of Military Significance |
|
|
28 | (6) |
|
1.5 Ethics of Armed Conflict |
|
|
34 | (1) |
|
1.6 What Is and Is Not Within the Scope of This Report |
|
|
35 | (8) |
|
1.7 A Roadmap to This Report |
|
|
43 | (2) |
|
2 Foundational Technologies |
|
|
45 | (34) |
|
2.1 Information Technology |
|
|
46 | (11) |
|
2.1.1 Scientific and Technological Maturity |
|
|
46 | (3) |
|
2.1.2 Possible Military Applications |
|
|
49 | (3) |
|
2.1.3 Ethical, Legal, and Societal Questions and Implications |
|
|
52 | (5) |
|
|
57 | (8) |
|
2.2.1 Scientific and Technological Maturity |
|
|
58 | (2) |
|
2.2.2 Possible Military Applications |
|
|
60 | (1) |
|
2.2.3 Ethical, Legal, and Societal Questions and Implications |
|
|
61 | (4) |
|
|
65 | (14) |
|
2.3.1 Scientific and Technological Maturity |
|
|
67 | (1) |
|
2.3.2 Possible Military Applications |
|
|
68 | (6) |
|
2.3.3 Ethical, Legal, and Societal Questions and Implications |
|
|
74 | (5) |
|
|
79 | (36) |
|
3.1 Robotics and Autonomous Systems |
|
|
79 | (13) |
|
3.1.1 Robotics---The Technology of Autonomous Systems |
|
|
80 | (2) |
|
3.1.2 Possible Military Applications |
|
|
82 | (1) |
|
3.1.3 Ethical, Legal, and Societal Questions and Implications |
|
|
83 | (9) |
|
3.2 Prosthetics and Human Enhancement |
|
|
92 | (5) |
|
3.2.1 The Science and Technology of Prosthetics and Human Enhancement |
|
|
92 | (1) |
|
3.2.2 Possible Military Applications |
|
|
93 | (1) |
|
3.2.3 Ethical, Legal, and Societal Questions and Implications |
|
|
94 | (3) |
|
|
97 | (6) |
|
3.3.1 The Technology of Cyber Weapons |
|
|
97 | (1) |
|
3.3.2 Possible Military Applications |
|
|
98 | (2) |
|
3.3.3 Ethical, Legal, and Societal Questions and Implications |
|
|
100 | (3) |
|
|
103 | (12) |
|
3.4.1 The Technology of Nonlethal Weapons |
|
|
104 | (1) |
|
3.4.2 Possible Applications |
|
|
105 | (1) |
|
3.4.3 Ethical, Legal, and Societal Questions and Implications |
|
|
106 | (9) |
|
4 Sources Of Elsi Insight |
|
|
115 | (48) |
|
4.1 Insights from Synthesizing Across Emerging and Readily Available Technologies |
|
|
115 | (3) |
|
|
118 | (11) |
|
4.2.1 Philosophical Ethics |
|
|
118 | (2) |
|
4.2.2 Disciplinary Approaches to Ethics |
|
|
120 | (9) |
|
|
129 | (13) |
|
|
132 | (6) |
|
4.3.2 International Human Rights Law |
|
|
138 | (2) |
|
4.3.3 Arms Control Treaties |
|
|
140 | (2) |
|
4.4 Social and Behavioral Sciences |
|
|
142 | (11) |
|
4.4.1 Sociology and Anthropology |
|
|
143 | (4) |
|
|
147 | (6) |
|
4.5 Scientific and Technological Framing |
|
|
153 | (1) |
|
4.6 The Precautionary Principle and Cost-Benefit Analysis |
|
|
154 | (3) |
|
|
157 | (4) |
|
4.8 Using Sources of ELSI Insight |
|
|
161 | (2) |
|
5 An Analytical Framework For Identifying Ethical, Legal, And Societal Issues |
|
|
163 | (49) |
|
|
164 | (11) |
|
5.1.1 Those Involved in or Connected to the Conduct of Research |
|
|
165 | (3) |
|
5.1.2 Users of an Application |
|
|
168 | (1) |
|
|
168 | (3) |
|
|
171 | (2) |
|
|
173 | (1) |
|
|
174 | (1) |
|
|
175 | (1) |
|
|
175 | (11) |
|
|
175 | (2) |
|
|
177 | (2) |
|
5.2.3 Technological Imperfections |
|
|
179 | (1) |
|
5.2.4 Unanticipated Military Uses |
|
|
180 | (1) |
|
5.2.5 Crossovers to Civilian Use |
|
|
181 | (1) |
|
5.2.6 Changing Ethical Standards |
|
|
182 | (1) |
|
5.2.7 ELSI Considerations in a Classified Environment |
|
|
183 | (2) |
|
|
185 | (1) |
|
5.2.9 Sources of Insight from Chapter 4 |
|
|
185 | (1) |
|
5.3 An Example of Using the Framework |
|
|
186 | (13) |
|
5.3.1 A Hypothetical Scenario for Analysis |
|
|
186 | (1) |
|
5.3.2 A Process for Identifying Ethical, Legal, and Societal Issues |
|
|
186 | (6) |
|
5.3.3 Questions Related to Stakeholders and Crosscutting Themes |
|
|
192 | (6) |
|
5.3.4 Developing a Future Course of Action |
|
|
198 | (1) |
|
5.4 The Framework in Context |
|
|
199 | (13) |
|
5.4.1 A Summary of the Framework's Questions |
|
|
199 | (6) |
|
5.4.2 Utility of the Framework |
|
|
205 | (3) |
|
5.4.3 Identifying Fraught Technologies |
|
|
208 | (1) |
|
5.4.4 Frequently Heard Arguments |
|
|
209 | (3) |
|
6 Going Beyond Initial A Priori Analysis |
|
|
212 | (18) |
|
6.1 Unanticipated Impacts |
|
|
212 | (1) |
|
6.2 Limits of A Priori Analysis |
|
|
213 | (6) |
|
6.2.1 The Limited Utility of Technology Forecasting |
|
|
213 | (1) |
|
6.2.2 Sources of Uncertainty in Technology Forecasting |
|
|
214 | (5) |
|
6.3 Broadening Predictive Analysis of Ethical, Legal, and Societal Issues |
|
|
219 | (11) |
|
6.3.1 Use of Deliberative Processes |
|
|
220 | (6) |
|
6.3.2 Anticipatory Governance |
|
|
226 | (1) |
|
|
227 | (3) |
|
7 Mechanisms For Addressing Ethical, Legal And Societal Issues |
|
|
230 | (15) |
|
7.1 Characterizing Possible Mechanisms for Addressing Ethical, Legal, and Societal Issues |
|
|
230 | (3) |
|
7.2 What Mechanisms Have Been Used to Address Ethical, Legal, and Societal Issues? |
|
|
233 | (7) |
|
7.2.1 Self-regulation and Self-awareness |
|
|
233 | (2) |
|
7.2.2 Established Institutional Mechanisms |
|
|
235 | (2) |
|
7.2.3 Existing DARPA Efforts to Manage ELSI Concerns |
|
|
237 | (3) |
|
7.3 Considerations for Mechanisms Used to Address Ethical, Legal, and Societal Issues in the Context of Military R&D |
|
|
240 | (5) |
|
8 Findings And Recommendations |
|
|
245 | (26) |
|
|
245 | (1) |
|
|
246 | (5) |
|
|
251 | (15) |
|
8.3.1 Recommendations for Agencies |
|
|
251 | (14) |
|
8.3.2 Recommendation for Research-Performing Institutions and Individual Researchers |
|
|
265 | (1) |
|
8.4 Concluding Observations |
|
|
266 | (5) |
|
|
|
A Committee Members and Staff |
|
|
271 | (12) |
|
B Meeting Agendas and Participants |
|
|
283 | (15) |
|
C Research and Development Organizations Within the Department of Defense |
|
|
298 | (8) |
|
D Established Institutional Mechanisms for Addressing Ethical Legal, and Societal Issues |
|
|
306 | |