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E-raamat: End of the World is Just the Beginning: Mapping the Collapse of Globalization

4.16/5 (24255 hinnangut Goodreads-ist)
  • Formaat: 512 pages
  • Ilmumisaeg: 14-Jun-2022
  • Kirjastus: Harper Business
  • Keel: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9780063230484
  • Formaat - EPUB+DRM
  • Hind: 20,99 €*
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  • Formaat: 512 pages
  • Ilmumisaeg: 14-Jun-2022
  • Kirjastus: Harper Business
  • Keel: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9780063230484

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A New York Times Bestseller!

2019 was the last great year for the globalized world economy.

For generations, everything has been getting faster, better, and cheaper. Finally, we reached the point that almost anything you could ever want could be sent to your home within days - even hours - of when you decided you wanted it.

America made that happen, but now America has lost interest in keeping it going.

Globe-spanning supply chains are only possible with the protection of the U.S. Navy. The American dollar underpins internationalized energy and financial markets. Complex, innovative industries were created to satisfy American consumers. American security policy forced warring nations to lay down their arms. Billions of people have been fed and educated as the American-led trade system spread across the globe.

All of this was artificial. All this was temporary. All this is ending.

In The End of the World is Just the Beginning, author and geopolitical strategist Peter Zeihan maps out the next world: a reality of deglobalization where countries or regions will have no choice but to make their own goods, grow their own food, secure their own energy, fight their own battles, and do it all with populations that are both shrinking and aging.

This bracing work of geopolitical forecasting shows the list of countries that make it all work is smaller than you think. Which means everything about our interconnected world - from how we manufacture products, to how we grow food, to how we keep the lights on, to how we shuttle stuff about, to how we pay for it all - is about to change.

A world ending. A world beginning. Zeihan brings readers along for an illuminating (and a bit terrifying) ride packed with economic foresight, wit, and his trademark irreverence.

In this provocative forecast, Zeihan explains what the collapse of globalization means for our way of life:





Demographic Collapse: Why shrinking, aging populations around the worldespecially in Chinamean the end of mass consumption and economic growth as we know it. Supply Chain Disruption: A world where countries must make their own goods, grow their own food, and secure their own energy when globe-spanning supply chains shatter. The Future of Energy: How the systems that keep the lights on and fuel our world will be forced to radically change, region by region. American Isolationism: Why the United States, which created and protected the globalized order, has lost interestand how it can benefit from the collapse.

Arvustused

From time to time, we hear how everything is going to change. None of us ever believe it. Now I do. Bill Owens, former governor of Colorado

Peter Zeihan is the Nostradamus of the twenty-first century. Using geography as his analytical foundation, hes able to explain why nations behave the way they do today, and predict with astounding accuracy how theyll behave tomorrow. Nowhere will you find a more objective and logical examination of geopolitical currents. A masterful blend of economics, demographics, environmental factors, cultural propellers, and realpolitik. The world is changing, especially Americas role in it, and Peter navigates this journey with clarity, rigor, and wit. If your passion is politics, investing, energy, technology, international relations or just being interesting at parties, read Peters book. Jesse Watters

Peter Zeihans latest work projects a future that will challenge your assumptions on how the world works, what nations are best postured to prosper, and which are fragile. The world he envisions is fraught with danger as powers rise and ebb, but not without opportunity. A worthy read to flesh out your worldview. Major General Patrick Donahoe, commanding general, U.S. Army Maneuver Center of Excellence

Ive never been so upbeat about the end of the world. Deeply researched, powerfully argued, and well written. Zeihan stitches together insights from economic geography, demography, and history to give us an original yet intuitive theory of geopolitics. Ian Bremmer, president of Eurasia Group

Peter Zeihan has done it again! The End of the World Is Just the Beginning offers a glimpse of the future by looking to the past. The geopolitics and demography that gave us our perfect moment in history is passing. What is in store for us and generations to come? Move Zeihans latest to the top of your stack and find out. Jack Carr, former Navy SEAL sniper and number one New York Times bestselling author of In the Blood

I found Peter Zeihans description of the future to be both plausible and provocative. Regardless of the details of how the next decades unfold, Zeihans book convinced me that it is at our own peril that we assume the future will look just like the present. Now more than ever, all our childrenregardless of raceneed to be equipped with a portable and flexible skill set that will enable them to adapt to circumstances and opportunities that we cant even imagine right now. Robert L. Woodson Sr., founder and president of the Woodson Center, 1776 Unites, Voices of Black Mothers United

Introduction   1 (8)
  SECTION I THE END OF AN ERA
 
  How the Beginning Began
  9 (16)
  Enter the Accidental Superpower
  25 (11)
  And Now for Something Completely Different
  36 (6)
  The Story of ... Us
  42 (5)
  History Speeds Up
  47 (15)
  Learning a Scary Word
  62 (6)
  The End of More
  68 (12)
  Messy, Messy Models
  80 (9)
  The Last Bits of More
  89 (16)
  A Quick Note from the Author ... and Moscow
  105 (4)
  SECTION II TRANSPORT
 
  The Long, Long Road
  109 (8)
  Breaking Free: Industrializing Transport
  117 (6)
  The Americanization of Trade
  123 (13)
  The Great Unmaking
  136 (12)
  Harbors in the Storm
  148 (15)
  SECTION III FINANCE
 
  Currencies: Navigating the Road Less Traveled
  163 (16)
  Adventures in Capital
  179 (16)
  Disaster Is Relative
  195 (4)
  The End of More, Redux: Demographics and Capital
  199 (5)
  A Credit Compendium
  204 (7)
  Finagling Future Financing Failures
  211 (10)
  SECTION IV ENERGY
 
  Harpooning Progress
  221 (7)
  The Order's Order for Oil
  228 (4)
  The Map of Oil: Contemporary Edition
  232 (17)
  There's More to Oil than Oil
  249 (27)
  Fueling the Future
  276 (5)
  SECTION V INDUSTRIAL MATERIALS
 
  Disassembling History
  281 (10)
  The Essential Materials
  291 (6)
  The Future Materials
  297 (5)
  The Always Materials
  302 (5)
  The Funky Materials
  307 (4)
  The Reliable Materials
  311 (8)
  This Is How the World Ends
  319 (4)
  SECTION VI MANUFACTURING
 
  Crafting the World We Know
  323 (12)
  The Map of the Present
  335 (16)
  The Map of the Future
  351 (23)
  Manufacturing a New World
  374 (17)
  SECTION VII AGRICULTURE
 
  What's at Stake
  391 (13)
  The Geopolitics of Vulnerability
  404 (12)
  Avoiding---or Accepting---the Worst
  416 (8)
  Mitigating Famine
  424 (8)
  Expanding the Diet, Shrinking the Diet
  432 (10)
  Agriculture and Climate Change
  442 (15)
  Feeding a New World
  457 (12)
  The Long Ride of the Third Horseman
  469 (2)
Epilogue   471 (6)
Acknowledgments   477 (6)
Index   483  
Peter Zeihan is a geopolitical strategist and the founder of the consulting firm Zeihan on Geopolitics. His clients include energy corporations, financial institutions, business associations, agricultural interests, universities, and the U.S. military. He is the author of The Accidental Superpower and The Absent Superpower. He lives in Colorado.