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E-raamat: Estimating Impact: A Handbook of Computational Methods and Models for Anticipating Economic, Social, Political and Security Effects in International Interventions

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  • Formaat: PDF+DRM
  • Ilmumisaeg: 15-Sep-2010
  • Kirjastus: Springer-Verlag New York Inc.
  • Keel: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9781441962355
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  • Formaat: PDF+DRM
  • Ilmumisaeg: 15-Sep-2010
  • Kirjastus: Springer-Verlag New York Inc.
  • Keel: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9781441962355

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EstimatingImpact demonstrates how to anticipate and analyze the effects of military andhumanitarian interventions before they occur. This approach combines two keyperspectives -- emerging technologies and practical execution of interventions.

Virtually all human endeavors can be analyzed and modeled and understood through computer-aided study, and that is very much at the core of operations research, game theory, and decision science.Understanding the potential impact of any action is critical to the success of that action, and in ESTIMATING IMPACT Alexander Kott and Gary Citrenbaum, with a stellar group of contributors, demonstrate how military or humanitarian interventions (or the decision not to intervene) can be rigorously analyzed beforehand and their likely impacts and ramifications predicted at levels appropriate to their scope. A wide range of modeling programs are available that support plan assessment and impact forecast, and they allow accurate prediction within an interdependent set of political, military, economic, social, information, and infrastructure systems, and experts involved in the use and development of these tools demonstrate how, when, and why they should be used.

Arvustused

From the reviews:

Anyone involved in modeling or planning will want this excellent introduction. The book also includes a variety of case studies and examples. The editors provide several tables so that the reader may locate an example related to a mechanism of intervention, an effect of intervention, or a modeling technique. The references at the end of each chapter, as well as the index, are well done. an excellent introduction to the current field of modeling interventions, and will be useful and worthwhile to readers. (Brad Reid, ACM Computing Reviews, June, 2011)

1 Introduction: Judgment and Computation 1(14)
Alexander Kott
Gary Citrenbaum
G. Jiyun Kim
2 Emerging Techniques and Tools 15(28)
Ed Waltz
3 Politics and Power 43(48)
Mark Abdollahian
Jacek Kugler
Brice Nicholson
Hana Oh
4 Economics and Markets 91(44)
Alan K. Graham
5 Media and Influence 135(44)
William H. Bennett
6 Governance and Society 179(26)
Corey Lofdahl
7 Groups and Violence 205(34)
Ravi Bhavnani
Dan Miodownik
Rick Riolo
8 Insurgency and Security 239(24)
Alexander Kott
Bruce Skarin
9 Crime and Corruption 263(22)
Deborah Duong
Robert Turner
Karl Selke
10 Visualization and Comprehension 285(26)
David Jonker
William Wright
11 Verification and Validation 311(26)
Dean Hartley
Stuart Starr
12 Conclusions: Anticipation and Action 337(12)
Alexander Kott
Stephen Morse
Abbreviations and Acronyms 349(2)
Index 351