Preface |
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xv | |
Authors |
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xix | |
Section I Background |
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3 | (22) |
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3 | (5) |
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8 | (3) |
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11 | (3) |
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1.4 Clinical Trial Registration |
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14 | (2) |
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16 | (6) |
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1.5.1 Historical Ethical Failures |
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17 | (1) |
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17 | (1) |
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1.5.3 Institutional Review Boards |
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18 | (2) |
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20 | (1) |
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1.5.5 Modern Cases of Negligence |
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21 | (1) |
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21 | (1) |
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22 | (3) |
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2 Product Development Process |
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25 | (14) |
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26 | (1) |
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2.2 Nonclinical Development |
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27 | (3) |
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27 | (1) |
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2.2.2 Toxicology/Drug Safety |
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28 | (1) |
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2.2.3 Drug Formulation Development |
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29 | (1) |
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30 | (8) |
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2.3.1 Phase I Clinical Trials |
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30 | (1) |
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2.3.2 Phase II/III Clinical Trials |
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31 | (2) |
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2.3.3 New Drug Application |
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33 | (1) |
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2.3.4 Accelerated Approval and Unique Clinical Development Methods |
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34 | (1) |
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2.3.5 Clinical Development Plan |
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35 | (1) |
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2.3.6 Postmarketing Development |
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36 | (2) |
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38 | (1) |
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3 Regulatory Review Organizations |
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39 | (18) |
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3.1 Food and Drug Administration |
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39 | (12) |
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41 | (1) |
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41 | (2) |
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43 | (2) |
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3.1.4 FDA—Industry Interactions |
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45 | (15) |
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46 | (1) |
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3.1.4.2 End of Phase II Meeting |
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46 | (1) |
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3.1.4.3 Pre-NDA/BLA Meeting |
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47 | (1) |
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3.1.4.4 Advisory Committee Meetings |
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48 | (3) |
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3.2 European Medicines Agency |
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51 | (3) |
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54 | (2) |
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56 | (1) |
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4 Clinical Trial Statisticians |
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57 | (14) |
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4.1 Roles of the Clinical Trial Statistician |
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57 | (3) |
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4.2 Important Attributes and Suggestions for Development |
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60 | (7) |
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4.2.1 Improve Communication Skills (Writing, Listening, Speaking, and Presenting) |
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61 | (1) |
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4.2.2 Keep Learning (Statistics and Medicine) |
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62 | (1) |
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4.2.3 Know the Medical Literature |
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62 | (1) |
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4.2.4 Think First (before Researching) and Keep Thinking |
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62 | (1) |
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4.2.5 Educate Colleagues regarding Fundamental Statistical Concepts |
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62 | (1) |
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4.2.6 Identify Options and Their Pros and Cons |
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63 | (1) |
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63 | (1) |
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4.2.8 Become Detective Sherlock Holmes |
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63 | (1) |
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4.2.9 Avoid Being Isolated |
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63 | (1) |
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4.2.10 Ask Lots of Questions; Question the Question |
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63 | (1) |
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4.2.11 Voice Scientific Opinions |
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64 | (1) |
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4.2.12 Protect Scientific Integrity |
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64 | (1) |
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4.2.13 Use Your References and Resources |
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64 | (1) |
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65 | (1) |
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4.2.15 Learn from Your Mistakes |
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65 | (1) |
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4.2.16 Do Not Rush with Answers |
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65 | (1) |
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4.2.17 Be Open-Minded and Compassionate; Practice Humility and Professionalism |
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65 | (1) |
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66 | (1) |
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4.2.19 Participate in Professional Societies, Attend Professional Meetings, and Take Short Courses |
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66 | (1) |
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67 | (4) |
Section II Scientific and Practical Issues |
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5 General Considerations in Clinical Trial Design |
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71 | (50) |
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5.1 General Design Issues in Clinical Trials |
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71 | (22) |
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5.1.1 What Is the Question? |
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71 | (1) |
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5.1.2 Design Efficiency and Robustness |
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72 | (1) |
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5.1.3 Selection of a Population and Entry Criteria |
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73 | (2) |
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5.1.4 Selection of Endpoints |
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75 | (7) |
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5.1.4.1 Desirable Characteristics of Endpoints |
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75 | (1) |
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5.1.4.2 Scales of Measurement |
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76 | (1) |
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5.1.4.3 Objective vs. Subjective Endpoints |
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77 | (1) |
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5.1.4.4 Composite Endpoints |
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77 | (2) |
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5.1.4.5 Multiple Endpoints |
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79 | (1) |
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5.1.4.6 Surrogate Endpoints |
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80 | (2) |
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5.1.5 Controlled vs. Uncontrolled Single-Arm Trials |
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82 | (1) |
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83 | (5) |
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5.1.6.1 Hypothesis Testing versus Precision |
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83 | (1) |
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5.1.6.2 Choosing an Acceptable Type I Rate |
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83 | (1) |
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5.1.6.3 Choosing an Acceptable Type II Error Rate |
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84 | (1) |
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5.1.6.4 Choosing the Minimum Clinically Important Difference |
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84 | (1) |
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5.1.6.5 Estimating Variability |
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85 | (1) |
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5.1.6.6 Group Sequential and Adaptive Designs |
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85 | (1) |
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5.1.6.7 Other Issues to Be Considered during Sample Size Calculation |
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86 | (2) |
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88 | (1) |
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5.1.6.9 Sensitivity Analyses |
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88 | (1) |
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5.1.7 Data Management Considerations |
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88 | (2) |
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5.1.7.1 Case Report Form Development |
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89 | (1) |
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5.1.8 The Prevention of Missing Data |
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90 | (3) |
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5.2 Design Issues in Controlled Clinical Trials |
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93 | (17) |
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93 | (5) |
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93 | (1) |
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5.2.1.2 Block Randomization |
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93 | (2) |
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5.2.1.3 Adaptive Randomization |
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95 | (1) |
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5.2.1.4 Interactive Voice Recognition System |
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96 | (1) |
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5.2.1.5 Cluster Randomization |
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97 | (1) |
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98 | (7) |
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5.2.2.1 Selection of a Control Group |
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100 | (1) |
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100 | (3) |
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103 | (1) |
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5.2.2.4 Historical Controls |
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104 | (1) |
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5.2.3 Parallel Group vs. Crossover Designs |
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105 | (5) |
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5.2.3.1 Parallel Group Designs |
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105 | (1) |
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5.2.3.2 Crossover Designs |
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106 | (4) |
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110 | (8) |
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5.3.1 Design Issues in Biologics |
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110 | (3) |
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5.3.1.1 Immunogenicity Studies, Field Studies, Lot Consistency Studies |
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112 | (1) |
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5.3.2 Design Issues in Devices |
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113 | (1) |
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114 | (1) |
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5.3.3.1 Multiregional Trials |
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114 | (1) |
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5.3.4 Design Issues in Rare Diseases |
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115 | (1) |
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116 | (2) |
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118 | (3) |
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121 | (54) |
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121 | (5) |
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122 | (1) |
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6.1.2 Bioavailability/Bioequivalence |
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123 | (2) |
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125 | (1) |
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6.2 Other Trial Designs Including Phase II and III |
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126 | (43) |
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6.2.1 Proof of Concept Study |
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126 | (1) |
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6.2.2 Dose-Finding Study Designs |
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127 | (5) |
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6.2.2.1 Frequency of Dosing |
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128 | (1) |
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6.2.2.2 Fixed Dose versus Dose Titration Designs |
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129 | (1) |
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6.2.2.3 Range of Doses to Be Studied |
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130 | (1) |
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130 | (1) |
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6.2.2.5 Dose Allocation and Dose Spacing |
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131 | (1) |
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6.2.2.6 Adaptive Dose-Finding |
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132 | (1) |
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6.2.3 Noninferiority Trials |
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132 | (11) |
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133 | (2) |
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135 | (5) |
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6.2.3.3 Clarification of the Two Distinct Objectives |
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140 | (1) |
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141 | (1) |
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141 | (1) |
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6.2.3.6 Switching between NI and Superiority |
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142 | (1) |
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143 | (1) |
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144 | (2) |
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6.2.5.1 The 2 x 2 Factorial Design |
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144 | (1) |
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6.2.5.2 The No Interaction Assumption |
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145 | (1) |
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146 | (1) |
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6.2.6 Factorial Designs with More than Two Factors and Assessment of More than One Outcome |
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146 | (2) |
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6.2.6.1 Interim Monitoring |
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147 | (1) |
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6.2.6.2 Recruitment and Adherence |
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147 | (1) |
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6.2.6.3 Analyses and Reporting |
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147 | (1) |
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148 | (3) |
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151 | (10) |
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6.2.8.1 Two-Stage Designs |
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153 | (3) |
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6.2.8.2 Changing Endpoints |
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156 | (4) |
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6.2.8.3 Sample Size Recalculation |
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160 | (1) |
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6.2.9 Dynamic Treatment Regimes |
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161 | (3) |
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6.2.10 Diagnostic Device Trials |
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164 | (11) |
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166 | (3) |
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169 | (2) |
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171 | (4) |
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7 Interim Data Monitoring |
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175 | (26) |
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7.1 Data Monitoring Committees/Data Safety Monitoring Boards |
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175 | (14) |
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176 | (1) |
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7.1.2 When Are DMCs Needed? |
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177 | (1) |
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177 | (2) |
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179 | (2) |
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181 | (1) |
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7.1.6 Data Monitoring Plan |
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182 | (1) |
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182 | (1) |
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183 | (3) |
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186 | (1) |
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7.1.10 DMCs of the Future |
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187 | (2) |
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7.2 Interim Monitoring Methods |
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189 | (2) |
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7.2.1 Evaluating Efficacy |
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189 | (1) |
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7.2.2 Evaluating Futility |
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190 | (1) |
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7.3 Limitations and Extensions |
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191 | (7) |
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7.3.1 Predicted Intervals |
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192 | (3) |
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192 | (1) |
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7.3.1.2 Continuous Endpoints |
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193 | (1) |
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7.3.1.3 Time-to-Event Endpoints |
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193 | (1) |
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7.3.1.4 Example: NARC 009 |
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194 | (1) |
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7.3.2 Predicted Interval Plots |
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195 | (9) |
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195 | (2) |
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7.3.2.2 The Utility of PIs |
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197 | (1) |
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7.4 A Centralized Risk-Based Approach to Monitoring |
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198 | (1) |
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198 | (3) |
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8 Analysis Considerations |
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201 | (60) |
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201 | (3) |
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8.2 Other Preparations for Analyses |
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204 | (2) |
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8.2.1 Data Management Preparations for Analyses |
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204 | (1) |
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8.2.2 Clinical Data Interchange Standards Consortium |
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204 | (1) |
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8.2.3 Statistical Programming |
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204 | (2) |
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206 | (45) |
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206 | (1) |
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8.3.2 Analysis Sets (ITT versus Per Protocol [ PP]) |
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206 | (6) |
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8.3.2.1 The ITT Principle |
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207 | (5) |
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8.3.2.2 Intent-to-Diagnose |
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212 | (1) |
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8.3.3 Baseline Comparisons and Baseline as a Covariate |
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212 | (3) |
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8.3.4 p-Values versus Confidence Intervals |
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215 | (2) |
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8.3.4.1 Poor p-Value Interpretation |
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215 | (1) |
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216 | (1) |
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8.3.5 Time Windows, Visit Windows |
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217 | (1) |
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218 | (4) |
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8.3.7 Confounding Effect Modification |
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222 | (1) |
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223 | (1) |
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224 | (2) |
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8.3.9.1 Subpopulation Treatment Effect Pattern Plot |
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226 | (1) |
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8.3.10 Multicenter Trials |
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226 | (2) |
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8.3.11 Multinational Trials |
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228 | (2) |
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230 | (5) |
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8.3.12.1 Preliminary Analyses for Missing Data |
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230 | (1) |
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231 | (1) |
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8.3.12.3 Analyses Methodologies for Missing Data |
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232 | (3) |
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235 | (2) |
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8.3.14 Censoring in Survival Data |
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237 | (2) |
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8.3.14.1 Design and Monitoring |
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237 | (1) |
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8.3.14.2 Preliminary Investigation |
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238 | (1) |
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8.3.14.3 Sensitivity Analyses |
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238 | (1) |
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8.3.14.4 Extreme Sensitivity Analyses |
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239 | (1) |
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239 | (2) |
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8.3.16 Rescue Medications |
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241 | (2) |
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8.3.17 Treatment Crossover |
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243 | (2) |
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8.3.18 Association # Causation |
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245 | (1) |
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8.3.19 Causation # Determination |
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245 | (1) |
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246 | (5) |
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8.3.20.1 ITD and the Impact of Interpretable Tests |
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249 | (1) |
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250 | (1) |
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251 | (6) |
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8.4.1 Balanced Interpretation |
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254 | (1) |
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8.4.2 Drug Trials in a Regulatory Setting |
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254 | (3) |
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257 | (4) |
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9 Analysis of Safety, Benefit: Risk, and Quality of Life |
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261 | (40) |
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261 | (13) |
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263 | (7) |
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263 | (1) |
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264 | (1) |
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9.1.1.3 Spontaneous versus Active Collection |
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265 | (1) |
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266 | (1) |
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266 | (4) |
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9.1.2 Laboratory and Vital Sign Data |
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270 | (2) |
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270 | (2) |
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9.1.3 Safety Analyses Using Observational Data |
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272 | (2) |
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9.2 Benefit: Risk Evaluation |
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274 | (17) |
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274 | (1) |
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274 | (2) |
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276 | (1) |
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277 | (1) |
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9.2.5 Combining Separate Marginal Analyses |
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278 | (6) |
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9.2.5.1 One Dimension: Within-Intervention Measures |
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278 | (1) |
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9.2.5.2 One Dimension: Comparative Measures |
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279 | (3) |
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9.2.5.3 Multidimensional Approaches |
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282 | (2) |
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9.2.6 Within-Patient Analyses |
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284 | (5) |
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9.2.6.1 Linear Combinations |
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285 | (1) |
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9.2.6.2 Composite Event-Time Endpoints |
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286 | (1) |
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286 | (1) |
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9.2.6.4 Scatterplot Methods for Continuous Data |
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287 | (2) |
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9.2.6.5 Adjudication Committee (AC) Approach |
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289 | (1) |
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289 | (2) |
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291 | (5) |
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292 | (1) |
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9.3.2 Issues in Design and Analyses |
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293 | (1) |
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9.3.3 Patient Preferences |
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294 | (2) |
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296 | (5) |
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10 Publishing Trial Results |
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301 | (20) |
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10.1 Guidelines for Reporting Clinical Trial Results |
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304 | (8) |
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10.1.1 The CONSORT Statement |
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304 | (1) |
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10.1.2 Reporting of Harms Data |
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304 | (5) |
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10.1.3 The TREND Statement |
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309 | (1) |
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10.1.4 The STARD Statement |
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309 | (3) |
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10.2 Reporting the Results of Subgroup Analyses |
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312 | (2) |
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10.3 Reporting Benefits and Risks |
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314 | (3) |
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317 | (1) |
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10.5 Reporting Adaptive Designs |
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317 | (1) |
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10.6 Reporting Bayesian Designs |
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317 | (2) |
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319 | (2) |
Appendix: Excerpts from the Lipitor® Drug Label |
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321 | (8) |
Index |
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329 | |