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E-raamat: Global Mapping of Infectious Diseases: Methods, Examples and Emerging Applications

Volume editor (TALA Research Group, Univers), Volume editor (TALA Research Group, University of Oxford, U.K.), Volume editor (Professor of Epidemiology, Spatial Epidemiology and Ecology Group, Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, South Parks Road, Oxford, OX1 3PS, U.K.)
  • Formaat: PDF+DRM
  • Ilmumisaeg: 23-Mar-2007
  • Kirjastus: Academic Press Inc
  • Keel: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9780080471020
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Global Mapping of Infectious Diseases: Methods, Examples and Emerging ApplicationsSuurem pilt
  • Formaat: PDF+DRM
  • Ilmumisaeg: 23-Mar-2007
  • Kirjastus: Academic Press Inc
  • Keel: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9780080471020
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First published in 1963, Advances in Parasitology contains comprehensive and up-to-date reviews in all areas of interest in contemporary parasitology. This volume is an outline of global environmental and global population data including scripts for predicting disease distributions and evaluating the accuracy of these mapped products. Several application chapters discuss current research topics appropriately addressed at the global scale. Topics such as tick-borne disease and the mapping of geographic and phylogenetic space; implications of global ecozonation and transportation networks on pathogen flow; and the impacts of climate change on vector-borne diseases are covered in this latest volume.

* Includes DVD of global environmental and global population data, including scripts for predicting disease distributions and evaluating the accuracy of these mapped products
* Valuable source of both technical and epidemiological data in this rapidly growing field
* Discusses practical applications of techniques to the study of parasitic and infectious diseases
CONTRIBUTORS v
SERIES EDITORS' PREFACE vii
GUEST EDITIORS' PREFACE ix
Models for Vectors and Vector-Borne Diseases
D.J. Rogers
Abstract
1
1. A Brief History of Distribution Modelling
2
2. Families of Distribution Models
4
3. Predictor Variable Selection in Distribution Models
12
4. What to Do With Sparse Datasets?
14
5. Incorporating Spatial Information Into Models
19
6. Model Selection and Multi-Model Inference
21
7. Conclusion
30
Acknowledgements
33
References
33
Global Environmental Data for Mapping Infectious Disease Distribution
S.I. Hay, A.J. Tatem, A.J. Graham, S.J. Goetz and D.J. Rogers
Abstract
38
1. Introduction
38
2. The AVHRR Sensor
39
3. Temporal Fourier Analysis (TFA)
49
4. Future Global Environmental Data
57
5. Conclusions
70
Acknowledgements
70
References
71
Issues of Scale and Uncertainty in the Global Remote Sensing of Disease
P.M. Atkinson and A.J. Graham
Abstract
80
1. Introduction
80
2. Issues of Scale and Spatial Resolution
86
3. Issues of Uncertainty
96
4. Summary
107
Acknowledgements
108
References
108
Determining Global Population Distribution: Methods, Applications and Data
D.L. Balk, U. Deichmann, G. Yetman, F. Pozzi, S.I. Hay and A. Nelson
Abstract
120
1. Introduction
120
2. Data
124
3. Methodology
133
4. Health Applications
138
5. Discussion
144
6. Data Dissemination
148
Acknowledgements
151
References
151
Defining the Global Spatial Limits of Malaria Transmission in 2005
C.A. Guerra, R.W. Snow and S.I. Hay
Abstract
157
1. Introduction
158
2. The Distribution of Malaria Risk from Travel Guidelines
159
3. The Biological Limits of Transmission
161
4. Distinguishing P. falciparum and P. vivax risk
169
5. Regional Analysis
169
6. Discussion
173
7. Conclusions
174
Acknowledgements
175
References
175
The Global Distribution of Yellow Fever and Dengue
D.J. Rogers, A.J. Wilson, S.I. Hay and A.J. Graham
Abstract
182
1. Introduction
182
2. The Pathogens
183
3. Materials and Methods
193
4. Results
200
5. Discussion
208
6. Conclusion
209
Acknowledgements
210
References
211
Global Epidemiology, Ecology and Control of Soil-Transmitted Helminth Infections
S. Brooker, A.C.A. Clements and D.A.P. Bundy
Abstract
221
1. Introduction
222
2. Transmission Dynamics and the Environment
224
3. Ecological Correlates
227
4. Predicting Distributions
231
5. Urbanization
232
6. Global Control Strategies
234
7. Control Applications of GIS/RS
237
8. Global Distributions
243
9. Predicted Numbers of Infections
246
10. The Future
250
Acknowledgements
252
References
252
Tick-borne Disease Systems: Mapping Geographic and Phylogenetic Space
S.E. Randolph and D.J. Rogers
Abstract
263
1. Predicting Changing Risk of Infection on Evolutionary Time Scales
264
2. The Evolutionary Time Scale for Vector-Borne Flaviviruses
267
3. Correlates of Phylogenetic Patterns
269
4. Testing the Role of Climate in the Evolution of Tick-borne Flaviviruses
276
Acknowledgements
285
References
285
Global Transport Networks and Infectious Disease Spread
A.J. Tatem, D.J. Rogers and S.I. Hay
Abstract
294
1. Introduction
294
2. Global Transport Networks and Pandemics
295
3. Global Transport Networks and Disease Vector Invasions
306
4. Global Transport Networks and Vector-borne Diseases
319
5. Conclusions
332
Acknowledgements
332
References
333
Climate Change and Vector-Borne Diseases
D.J. Rogers and S.E. Randolph
Abstract
346
1. The Mathematics and Biology of Changes in Vector-Borne Diseases
346
2. Defining the Criteria for Claiming Climate Impacts on Vector-Borne Diseases
351
3. Models for Climate Change Impacts on Vector-Borne Diseases
353
4. Biological and Statistical Approaches to Vector-Borne Disease Futures
355
5. Recent Changes in Vector-Borne Diseases: Has Climate Change Already had an Impact?
366
6. Conclusions
376
Acknowledgements
377
References
377
INDEX 383


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