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E-raamat: Informing Energy and Climate Policies Using Energy Systems Models: Insights from Scenario Analysis Increasing the Evidence Base

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  • Formaat: PDF+DRM
  • Sari: Lecture Notes in Energy 30
  • Ilmumisaeg: 06-Apr-2015
  • Kirjastus: Springer International Publishing AG
  • Keel: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9783319165400
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  • Formaat: PDF+DRM
  • Sari: Lecture Notes in Energy 30
  • Ilmumisaeg: 06-Apr-2015
  • Kirjastus: Springer International Publishing AG
  • Keel: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9783319165400

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This book highlights how energy-system models are used to underpin and support energy and climate mitigation policy decisions at national, multi-country and global levels. It brings together, for the first time in one volume, a range of methodological approaches and case studies of good modeling practice on a national and international scale from the IEA-ETSAP energy technology initiative. It provides insights for the reader into the rich and varied applications of energy-system models and the underlying methodologies and policy questions they can address. The book demonstrates how these models are used to answer complex policy questions, including those relating to energy security, climate change mitigation and the optimal allocation of energy resources. It will appeal to energy engineers and technology specialists looking for a rationale for innovation in the field of energy technologies and insights into their evolving costs and benefits. Energy economists will gain an understanding of the key future role of energy technologies and policy makers will learn how energy-system modeling teams can provide unique perspectives on national energy and environment challenges. The book is carefully structured into three parts which focus on i) policy decisions that have been underpinned by energy-system models, ii) specific aspects of supply and end-use sector modeling, including technology learning and behavior and iii) how additional insights can be gained from linking energy-system models with other models. The chapters elucidate key methodological features backed up with concrete applications. The book demonstrates the high degree of flexibility of the modeling tools used to represent extremely different energy systems, from national to global levels.

Introduction: Energy Systems Modelling for Decision-Making
1(14)
Alessandro Chiodi
George Giannakidis
Maryse Labriet
Brian O Gallachoir
GianCarlo Tosato
Part I From Policy Insights to Policy Decisions
Energy Policies Influenced by Energy Systems Modelling---Case Studies in UK, Ireland, Portugal and G8
15(28)
Alessandro Chiodi
Peter G. Taylor
Julia Seixas
Sofia Simoes
Patricia Fortes
Joao P. Gouveia
Luis Dias
Brian O Gallachoir
A Global Renewable Energy Roadmap: Comparing Energy Systems Models with IRENA's Remap 2030 Project
43(26)
Ruud Kempener
Edi Assoumou
Alessandro Chiodi
Umberto Ciorba
Maria Gaeta
Dolf Gielen
Hiroshi Hamasaki
Amit Kanudia
Tom Kober
Maryse Labriet
Nadia Maizi
Brian O Gallachoir
Deger Saygin
Julia Seixas
Nicholas Wagner
Evelyn Wright
Energy Decisions in an Uncertain Climate and Technology Outlook: How Stochastic and Robust Methodologies Can Assist Policy-Makers
69(24)
Maryse Labriet
Claire Nicolas
Stephane Tchung-Ming
Amit Kanudia
Richard Loulou
Schemes for the Regional Allocation of Emission Allowances under Stringent Global Climate Policy
93(18)
Tom Kober
Bob van der Zwaan
Hilke Rosler
Assessment of Carbon Emissions Quotas with the Integrated TIMES and MERGE Model
111(14)
Socrates Kypreos
Antti Lehtila
Integrating Policy Instruments into Energy System Models---From Theory to Application to Germany
125(16)
Birgit Fais
Markus Blesl
Improving Efficiency in Kazakhstan's Energy System
141(10)
Aiymgul Kerimray
Kanat Baigarin
Aidyn Bakdolotov
Rocco De Miglio
GianCarlo Tosato
Ex Post and Prospective Analyses of Renewable Policies in Spain
151(12)
Helena Cabal
Yolanda Lechon
Natalia Caldes
Cristina de la Rua
Diego Garcia-Gusano
Elena Lopez-Bernabe
Ines Lopez-Doriga
Marta Santamaria
Modelling Pathways to a Low Carbon Economy for Finland
163(22)
Tiina Koljonen
Antti Lehtila
Part II Focussing on Specific Aspects of Supply and End-Use
Methodological Significance of Temporal Granularity in Energy-Economic Models---Insights from the MARKAL/TIMES Framework
185(16)
Ramachandran Kannan
Hal Turton
Evangelos Panos
Improved Representation of the European Power Grid in Long Term Energy System Models: Case Study of JRC-EU-TIMES
201(22)
Wouter Nijs
Sofia Simoes
Alessandra Sgobbi
Pablo Ruiz-Castello
Christian Thiel
George Giannakidis
John Mantzaris
Kostas Tigas
Dionisios Dimitroulas
Pavlos Georgilakis
Costas Vournas
Highly Detailed TIMES Modeling to Analyze Interactions Between Air Quality and Climate Regulations in the United States
223(24)
Evelyn Wright
Amit Kanudia
An Analysis of the Impacts of New Oil Pipeline Projects on the Canadian Energy Sector with a TIMES Model for Canada
247(14)
Kathleen Vaillancourt
Yuri Alcocer
Olivier Bahn
Multi-cluster Technology Learning in TIMES: A Transport Sector Case Study with TIAM-UCL
261(18)
Gabrial Anandarajah
Will McDowall
Modal Shift of Passenger Transport in a TIMES Model: Application to Ireland and California
279(14)
Hannah E. Daly
Kalai Ramea
Alessandro Chiodi
Sonia Yeh
Maurizio Gargiulo
Brian O Gallachoir
The Role of Energy Service Demand in Carbon Mitigation: Combining Sector Analysis and China TIMES-ED Modelling
293(22)
Wenying Chen
Xiang Yin
Hongjun Zhang
Ding Ma
Jincheng Shi
Weilong Huang
Nan Li
Part III Gaining Additional Insights Through Model Coupling
Soft-Linking Exercises Between TIMES, Power System Models and Housing Stock Models
315(18)
J.P. Deane
Francesco Gracceva
Alessandro Chiodi
Maurizio Gargiulo
Brian O Gallachoir
Economic Impacts of Future Changes in the Energy System---Global Perspectives
333(26)
James Glynn
Patricia Fortes
Anna Krook-Riekkola
Maryse Labriet
Marc Vielle
Socrates Kypreos
Antti Lehtila
Peggy Mischke
Hancheng Dai
Maurizio Gargiulo
Per Ivar Helgesen
Tom Kober
Phil Summerton
Bruno Merven
Sandrine Selosse
Kenneth Karlsson
Neil Strachan
Brian O Gallachoir
Economic Impacts of Future Changes in the Energy System---National Perspectives
359(30)
James Glynn
Patricia Fortes
Anna Krook-Riekkola
Maryse Labriet
Marc Vielle
Socrates Kypreos
Antti Lehtila
Peggy Mischke
Hancheng Dai
Maurizio Gargiulo
Per Ivar Helgesen
Tom Kober
Phil Summerton
Bruno Merven
Sandrine Selosse
Kenneth Karlsson
Neil Strachan
Brian O Gallachoir
Assessing Climate Impacts on the Energy Sector with TIAM-WORLD: Focus on Heating and Cooling and Hydropower Potential
389(22)
Maryse Labriet
Markus Biberacher
Philip B. Holden
Neil R. Edwards
Amit Kanudia
Richard Loulou
Coupling World and European Models: Energy Trade and Energy Security in Europe
411
Raffaella Gerboni
Daniele Grosso
Evasio Lavagno
Amit Kanudia
GianCarlo Tosato
George Giannakidis holds a Mechanical Engineering Degree (1989) from the Aristotle University of Thessaloniki and a PhD in Computational Fluid Dynamics (1993) from Imperial College, University of London. Between 1997 and 2006 he was a senior consultant in the Centre for Renewable Energy Sources and Saving in Greece and since 2006 he is the Head of the Laboratory for Energy Systems Analysis. His scientific interests include energy systems analysis, energy economics and energy policy. He is in particular interested in the evaluation of the necessary energy policies for large scale penetration of renewable energies. He has participated as a project partner and coordinator in a number of EU funded projects on energy planning and renewable energy sources penetration into the energy system. He has also participated in the formulation of the Greek National Action Plans for energy efficiency, cogeneration of heat and power and renewable energy sources. Since January 2013 he is representing CRES as the Operating Agent of the Energy Technology Systems Analysis Implementing Agreement (ETSAP). He is the author of more than 25 publications related to his scientific interests.

Maryse Labriet has worked as environment/energy consultant and researcher for 20 years, with experience in research and consultancy in Canada, Europe, Africa, Central America. She now works as director of Eneris Environment Energy Consultants s.l., based in Spain. She is an engineer (France, 1991) and holds a PhD in Environmental Sciences (Canada, 2004). She has developed a comprehensive knowledge and expertise in two complementary areas: the development and application of integrated energy models to support climate and energy decision-making at national, regional and global levels; the assessment and promotion of sustainable low carbon and climate resilient energy policies, especially in the context of international cooperation. Maryse Labriet actively participated in several European Unionand international research projects, collaborating with research groups, international institutions and ONGs, sharing the same desire to contribute to a more sustainable and equitable World. She is member of the Energy Technology Systems Analysis Programme (ETSAP). She is faculty lecturer at the School for Industrial Organization (EOI-Madrid, International Master on Sustainable Management and Corporate Responsibility) and associate member of the Group for Research in Decision Analysis (GERAD, Canada).

Brian Ó Gallachóir is a senior lecturer in energy engineering and leads a research group in energy policy and modelling in University College Cork. His research focus is on energy modelling, including energy systems modelling with TIMES, power systems modelling with PLEXOS and sectoral energy demand modelling with ArDEM, CarSTOCK and LEAP. His research is used to inform energy and climate policy decisions. Brian is chair of the Executive Committee of the IEA Implementing Agreement on energy systems modelling (ETSAP), is on the Steering Committee of Energy Cork and a member of Ireland's Gas Innovation Group. Brian co-ordinates of UCC's taught Masters Programme (MEngSc) in Sustainable Energy and is co-instigator of UCC's BE Degree in Energy Engineering. An applied sciences graduate of Dublin Institute of Technology, Brian moved to Cork in 1990 to carry out a Doctoral research programme in ocean wave energy hydrodynamics. From 1995 - 1998, Brian was Technical Manager of the Renewable Energy Information Office of Sustainable Energy Authority of Ireland. Between 2000 and 2011, Brian was also a Strategic Advisor to Sustainable Energy Authority of Ireland's Energy Policy Statistical Support Unit. GianCarlo Tosato is a senior energy technology system analyst. He has worked for thirty five years at energy modelling and analysis in private companies and public organizations, domestically and internationally. Since February 2002, he is Project Head of the ImplementingAgreement on the Energy Technology Systems Analysis Programme (ETSAP) within the framework of the International Energy Agency (IEA). He provides advice in carrying out global and multi-regional technical-economic energy analysis. He made direct contributions in developing energy system models and analysis of European countries and regions as well as in analysing the energy system and prospects of emerging countries with key role in the world energy supply (e.g. Kazakhstan). Mr. Tosato actively participated in several European Union and international research projects. Mr Tosatos past employments and responsibilities include: the European Fusion Development Agreement (Max Plank Institute fur Plasma Physik Garching, Germany) where he was the leader of the Social-Economic Office; the Energy Information Administration (Washington DC, US) where he coordinated the implementation of the new EIA energy model; the Italian Energy Agency (ENEA) where he was the head of the Energy Strategies Office. Other employments include CESEN-Ansaldo (Genoa, Italy), ENI (Rome, Italy) and KFZ (Juelich, Germany). Mr Tosato is author of number of reports, papers, articles and books. He currently operates as an independent consultant with his own company ASATREM s.r.l.