Contributors |
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xi | |
Foreword |
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xiii | |
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1 An Introduction to Agent-Based Computational Macroeconomics |
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10 | (5) |
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Part II Macroeconomic Agent-Based Computational Economics |
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2 Decentralized Interacting Macroeconomics and the Agent-Based "Modellaccio" |
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2.1 Agent-Based Macroeconomics: An Introduction |
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15 | (7) |
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2.1.1 Roots and Characteristics of an Innovative Approach |
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15 | (3) |
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2.1.2 Agent-Based Macromodels: An Overview of the Literature |
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18 | (4) |
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22 | (36) |
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2.2.1 An Agent-Based Stock-Flow Consistent Paradigm? |
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22 | (7) |
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2.2.2 The JMAB Tool-Suite |
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29 | (2) |
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2.2.3 Object-Oriented Programming and Dependency Injection |
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31 | (3) |
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2.2.4 Event-Based Approach |
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34 | (2) |
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2.2.5 Stock Matrix Approach to Agents' Balance Sheets |
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36 | (2) |
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2.2.6 Fully Scalable View of Model Dynamics |
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38 | (2) |
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2.2.7 The AB "Modellaccio" |
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40 | (2) |
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42 | (3) |
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2.2.9 Calibration Procedure |
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45 | (1) |
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2.2.10 Analysis and Validation of Results |
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46 | (5) |
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2.2.11 Robustness Checks and Sensitivity Experiments |
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51 | (2) |
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2.2.12 An Application to Study Inequality and Economic Growth |
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53 | (5) |
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2.3 Conclusions and Challenges Ahead |
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58 | (7) |
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60 | (5) |
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3 AD-AS Representation of Macroeconomic Emergent Properties |
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65 | (1) |
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3.2 The Standard AD-AS Model |
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65 | (3) |
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3.3 An Agent-Based Macro Model |
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68 | (8) |
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3.3.1 Timing and Interaction Mechanisms |
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69 | (1) |
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70 | (1) |
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71 | (1) |
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72 | (1) |
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72 | (1) |
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73 | (1) |
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73 | (1) |
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74 | (1) |
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75 | (1) |
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3.3.7 Government and Central Bank |
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75 | (1) |
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76 | (1) |
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76 | (5) |
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77 | (3) |
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3.4.2 AD Curve and Aggregation Effects |
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80 | (1) |
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81 | (2) |
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3.6 AD-AS (Dis)equilibrium |
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83 | (4) |
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85 | (2) |
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4 Heterogeneity in Macroeconomics: DSGE and Agent-Based Model Approach |
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87 | (2) |
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4.2 The Representative Agent Paradigm |
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89 | (2) |
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4.3 Macroeconomics and Heterogeneity |
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91 | (8) |
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4.3.1 The Optimizing Heterogeneous Agents Framework |
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91 | (3) |
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4.3.2 Dealing With Heterogeneity Within the Representative Agent Framework: The Case of Financial Markets |
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94 | (5) |
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4.4 The Agent-Based Model Proposal |
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99 | (1) |
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100 | (5) |
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101 | (4) |
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5 Early Warning Indicator for Crises in an Agent-Based Macromodel |
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105 | (1) |
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106 | (8) |
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107 | (1) |
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107 | (2) |
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109 | (1) |
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110 | (1) |
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111 | (1) |
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112 | (1) |
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5.2.2 Interaction Structure |
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113 | (1) |
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113 | (1) |
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113 | (1) |
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113 | (1) |
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114 | (1) |
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114 | (1) |
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114 | (9) |
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5.3.1 Macroeconomic Dynamics |
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114 | (1) |
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5.3.2 Early Warning Indicator for Crisis |
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114 | (3) |
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5.3.3 Varying Credit Supply |
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117 | (6) |
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123 | (4) |
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123 | (4) |
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Part III Macroeconomic ABM: Perspectives and Implications |
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6 Expectation Models in Agent-Based Computational Economics |
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127 | (2) |
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6.2 Rules Come From Expectations, and Rules Is What You Really Want |
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129 | (3) |
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6.3 The Switching of Rules |
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132 | (2) |
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6.4 The Switching of Strategies |
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134 | (2) |
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6.5 A Simple ABM Comparing Biased and Unbiased Adaptive Agents With the Perfectly Rational Solution |
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136 | (4) |
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140 | (3) |
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141 | (2) |
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7 Experimental Economics for ABM Validation |
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143 | (1) |
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7.2 Behavioral and Experimental Economics |
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144 | (3) |
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7.3 The Links Between Experimental Economics and the ABM Approach |
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147 | (3) |
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7.4 Applications: Calibration and Validation of an ABM |
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150 | (9) |
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7.4.1 Example #1: Calibration Procedure |
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150 | (3) |
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7.4.2 Example #2: Validation Procedure |
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153 | (2) |
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7.4.3 Example #3: Validation and Calibration Procedure |
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155 | (4) |
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159 | (4) |
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160 | (3) |
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8 Econometric Methods for Agent-Based Models |
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163 | (1) |
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163 | (11) |
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8.2.1 Estimation of Agent-Based Models |
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164 | (4) |
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8.2.2 Estimation, Validation, Calibration |
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168 | (2) |
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170 | (1) |
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8.2.4 Identification, Metamodeling, and Sensitivity Analysis |
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171 | (3) |
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8.3 Estimation of a Network Model of Credit Market Interaction |
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174 | (3) |
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175 | (1) |
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176 | (1) |
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8.4 Metamodeling of a Financial Accelerator ABM |
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177 | (7) |
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178 | (2) |
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180 | (1) |
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8.4.3 Selection of Metamodels and Sensitivity Analysis |
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181 | (3) |
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184 | (7) |
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187 | (1) |
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187 | (4) |
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9 Modeling the Joint Distribution of Income and Consumption in Italy: A Copula-Based Approach With κ-Generalized Margins |
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191 | (1) |
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192 | (16) |
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9.2.1 The Italian Personal-Income and Consumption Data |
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192 | (5) |
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9.2.2 The κ-Generalized Distribution for Margins |
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197 | (5) |
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9.2.3 The Symmetrized Joe--Clayton Copula |
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202 | (6) |
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208 | (10) |
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9.3.1 Parametric Marginal Distributions of Income and Consumption |
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208 | (2) |
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9.3.2 The Joint Distribution of Income and Consumption |
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210 | (8) |
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9.4 Conclusions and Directions for Future Research |
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218 | (11) |
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Appendix 9.A The Propensity to Consume in Italy |
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219 | (5) |
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224 | (5) |
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10 A Networked Economy: A Survey on the Effect of Interaction in Credit Markets |
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229 | (1) |
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10.2 Theoretical Models of Credit Markets |
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230 | (3) |
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10.3 Network Models of Financial Stability |
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233 | (5) |
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10.3.1 Theoretical Network Models |
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234 | (3) |
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10.3.2 Empirical Network Analysis |
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237 | (1) |
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10.4 Simulation Techniques |
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238 | (8) |
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10.4.1 Computational Approaches |
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238 | (2) |
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10.4.2 Agent-Based Models of the Credit Market |
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240 | (6) |
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246 | (7) |
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248 | (5) |
Index |
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253 | |