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E-raamat: MIDAS Technical Analysis: A VWAP Approach to Trading and Investing in Today's Markets

  • Formaat: EPUB+DRM
  • Sari: Bloomberg Financial
  • Ilmumisaeg: 23-Mar-2011
  • Kirjastus: Bloomberg Press
  • Keel: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9781118063217
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  • Formaat: EPUB+DRM
  • Sari: Bloomberg Financial
  • Ilmumisaeg: 23-Mar-2011
  • Kirjastus: Bloomberg Press
  • Keel: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9781118063217
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"MIDAS Technical Analysis offers an opportunity to introduce a new twist on an obscure technical analysis tool that can be used much more effectively today. Paul Levine a theoretical physicist and part-time technical analyst--created the MIDAS (Market Interpretation/Data Analysis System) system in 1990s based on VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price). VWAP is not a technical analysis tool; it is a pricing method used by brokers and institutional investors to ensure efficient pricing and trading. Coles and Hawkins have taken Levine's work and greatly expanded on it, creating a truly useful tool for trading. They explain the basics of MIDAS and then go beyond it, showing how it can be used today. They demonstrate how it can be used in different time frames (different timeframes require different concepts and procedures) and how it can be used with other, more conventional indicators (e.g., DeMark or moving averages). They also introduce new indicators that they have created based on the MIDAS system (e.g., "Percent Displacement Bands"). They also show how to use MIDAS as a trading system: recognizing set ups, where to enter, where to place stops, identifying price targets, etc. Finally, the authors supply new computer code that goes beyond anything Levinesupplied."--

Provided by publisher.

MIDAS Technical Analysis offers an opportunity to introduce a new twist on an obscure technical analysis tool that can be used much more effectively today. Paul Levine a theoretical physicist and part-time technical analyst--created the MIDAS (Market Interpretation/Data Analysis System) system in 1990s based on VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price). VWAP is not a technical analysis tool; it is a pricing method used by brokers and institutional investors to ensure efficient pricing and trading.

Coles and Hawkins have taken Levine's work and greatly expanded on it, creating a truly useful tool for trading. They explain the basics of MIDAS and then go beyond it, showing how it can be used today. They demonstrate how it can be used in different time frames (different timeframes require different concepts and procedures) and how it can be used with other, more conventional indicators (e.g., DeMark or moving averages). They also introduce new indicators that they have created based on the MIDAS system (e.g., "Percent Displacement Bands"). They also show how to use MIDAS as a trading system: recognizing set ups, where to enter, where to place stops, identifying price targets, etc. Finally, the authors supply new computer code that goes beyond anything Levine supplied.

Introduction xiii
Andrew Coles
Biographical Sketch, Paul H. Levine xix
David G. Hawkins
Acknowledgments xxi
PART I STANDARD MIDAS SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE CURVES
Chapter 1 MIDAS and Its Core Constituents: The Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) and Fractal Market Analysis
3(26)
Andrew Coles
MIDAS and Its Two Key Backdrops: VWAP and Fractal Market Analysis
4(16)
The MIDAS Approach as a Genuine Standalone Trading System
20(6)
Summary
26(3)
Chapter 2 Applying Standard MIDAS Curves to the Investor Timeframes
29(32)
David G. Hawkins
Definitions of Timeframes---The Triple Screen Trading Methodology
29(2)
MIDAS Curves within the Triple Screen System
31(1)
The Basic Behavior of the MIDAS Support/Resistance Curves
31(1)
Equivolume Charting
32(3)
What Price Should Be Used?
35(1)
Support/Resistance Becomes Resistance/Support
35(4)
Distinguishing an Uptrend from a Trading Range
39(1)
The Foothill Pattern
40(1)
A Trading Range Turning into a Downtrend
41(2)
Tracking a Trend with a Hierarchy of MIDAS Curves
43(3)
MIDAS S/R Curves for Entry Setups and Triggers
46(2)
Same Launch Point, Different Timeframes
48(2)
Special Start Points---The Left Side
50(3)
Special Start Points---The Initial Public Offering (IPO)
53(2)
Special Starting Points---The Down Gap and Its Dead Cat Bounce
55(2)
Special Starting Points---The Highest R and the Lowest S
57(2)
Summary
59(2)
Chapter 3 MIDAS Support and Resistance (S/R) Curves and Day Trading
61(64)
Andrew Coles
Multiple Trend and Timeframe Analysis
62(6)
Part One The MIDAS System as a Standalone Day Trading System
68(14)
Part Two Using the MIDAS System alongside Other Technical Indicators
82(37)
Capturing Today's High and Low with Standard MIDAS S/R Curves
119(1)
Summary
120(5)
PART II THE MIDAS TOPFINDER/BOTTOMFINDER
Chapter 4 The MIDAS Topfinder/Bottomfinder on Intraday Charts
125(36)
Andrew Coles
Levine's Two Insights Governing the MIDAS Methodology
126(1)
Part One The Quantitative Features of the TB-F Algorithm
126(9)
Part Two The Engineering Aspect of TB-F Curves
135(24)
Summary
159(2)
Chapter 5 Applying the Topfinder/Bottomfinder to the Investor Timeframes
161(32)
David G. Hawkins
A Most Unusual Indicator
161(1)
The Basic Program of the TB-F
162(1)
What is an Accelerated Trend?
162(1)
Discovering the Topfinder/Bottomfinder
163(2)
Using the TB-F
165(1)
An Interesting Mathematical Observation
166(1)
Fitting the TB-F Curve in Chart Views Other than Equivolume
167(3)
Fitting to More than One Pullback
170(8)
Nested TB-Fs: The Fractal Nature of the Market
178(2)
TB-F Curves on Different Timeframes
180(5)
Bottomfinders Are Sometimes Problematic
185(2)
What Comes after a TB-F Ends?
187(1)
Summary
188(5)
PART III THE LONGER-TERM HORIZON, OTHER VOLUME INDICATORS, AND BROADER PERSPECTIVES
Chapter 6 Applying MIDAS to Market Averages, ETFs, and Very Long-Term Timeframes
193(26)
David G. Hawkins
Using MIDAS with the Indices---The S/R Curves
195(3)
The Validity of Volume Data
198(3)
Using MIDAS with the Indices---The TB-F
201(1)
Using Exchange-Traded Funds Instead of Market Indices
202(3)
MIDAS Applied to Long- and Very Long-Term Timeframes
205(4)
Back to 1871
209(1)
Inflation Adjustment
209(2)
A Closer Look at the Very Long-Term
211(2)
The Very Long-Term Horizontal S/R Levels
213(1)
The Bavarian Deer Herd
214(1)
What Can Be Said about the Very Long-Term Future?
215(3)
Summary
218(1)
Chapter 7 EquiVolume, MIDAS and Float Analysis
219(20)
David G. Hawkins
The Basic Principle---"Volume Leads to Volume"
219(2)
Why Does Price Projection Work?
221(2)
The Connection between Price Projection and the Topfinder/Bottomfinder
223(1)
Using Price Projection
224(3)
Steve Woods' Float Analysis
227(3)
Volume Periodicity
230(7)
Summary
237(2)
Chapter 8 Putting It All Together
239(18)
David G. Hawkins
Trend Following
239(10)
Calling Bottoms
249(2)
Base Breakouts
251(3)
Summary
254(3)
PART IV NEW DEPARTURES
Chapter 9 Standard and Calibrated Curves
257(12)
David G. Hawkins
Discovering the Calibrated Curves
257(1)
Examples
258(9)
Summary
267(2)
Chapter 10 Applying the MIDAS Method to Price Charts without Volume: A Study in the Cash Foreign Exchange Markets
269(16)
Andrew Coles
MIDAS and Cash Foreign Exchange Markets
269(1)
A Comparison of the MIDAS S/R Curves Using Cash FX Intraday Tick Data and Intraday Futures Volume Data
270(3)
A Comparison of the MIDAS Topfinder/Bottomfinder Curves Using Cash FX Intraday Tick Data and Intraday Futures Volume Data
273(2)
Options in the Cash Foreign Exchange Markets for Higher Timeframe Charts
275(1)
Options 1 and 3---Replacing Cash Forex Markets with Futures Markets or Currency ETFs/ETNs
276(1)
Using MIDAS S/R Curves in Markets without Volume: The Daily and Weekly Cash FX Charts
277(3)
Using MIDAS Topfinder/Bottomfinder Curves in Markets without Volume: The Daily and Weekly Cash FX Charts
280(3)
Summary
283(2)
Chapter 11 Four Relationships between Price and Volume and Their Impact on the Plotting of MIDAS Curves
285(12)
Andrew Coles
Relationships between Price and Volume Trends and the Four Rules Affecting the Plotting of MIDAS Curves
286(4)
Applying the Rules to Applications of Standard and Nominal MIDAS S/R Curves
290(4)
Using Relative Strength or Ratio Analysis
294(2)
Summary
296(1)
Chapter 12 MIDAS and the CFTC Commitments of Traders Report: Using MIDAS with Open Interest Data
297(34)
Andrew Coles
An Overview of Open Interest and Open Interest Data Options
298(1)
The Orthodox Interpretation of Changes in Open Interest
299(1)
A First Look at Standard MIDAS Support/Resistance Curves with Open Interest
300(2)
Pursuing MIDAS and Open Interest More Deeply
302(1)
Concise Overview of the Commitment of Traders (COT) Report
302(1)
Understanding the Main Players in the Legacy Report
303(1)
Identifying the Key Players in the COT Report
304(3)
Choosing the Appropriate Category of Open Interest
307(1)
MIDAS and Total Open Interest
308(4)
Choosing between Commercial and Noncommercial Positioning Data
312(3)
Measuring the Market with Commercial Net Positioning Data
315(3)
MIDAS and COT Report Timing
318(1)
Comparing the Commercial Net Positioning Indicators with MIDAS using Noncommercial Net Positioning Data
319(8)
Additional Reading
327(1)
Summary
328(3)
Chapter 13 Price Porosity and Price Suspension: The Causes of these Phenomena and Several Partial Solutions
331(14)
Andrew Coles
Porosity and Suspension Illustrated
332(1)
Identifying the Cause of the Two Phenomena
333(1)
Solving the Problem of the Two Phenomena
334(8)
Summary
342(3)
Chapter 14 A MIDAS Displacement Channel for Congested Markets
345(14)
Andrew Coles
The Problem: Mean Reversion in Sideways Markets
346(2)
The Solution: Applying a Displacement Channel to Sideways Markets
348(1)
MIDAS Displacement Channel Methodology
349(1)
Trading Implications of the MDC
349(1)
Additional Forecasting Implications
349(1)
Additional Benefit: Applying the MDC to Trending Markets to Capture Swing Highs in Uptrends and Swing Lows in Downtrends
350(3)
Second Benefit: Applying the MDC to the Problem of Price Porosity
353(2)
Comparing the MDC with the Moving Average Envelope
355(1)
The MDC in Relation to Topfinder/Bottomfinder (TB-F) Curves
356(1)
The MDC in Relation to the MIDAS Standard Deviation Bands
356(1)
Features of the MDC in Relation to other Boundary Indicators
356(1)
Summary
357(2)
Chapter 15 MIDAS and Standard Deviation Bands
359(12)
Andrew Coles
The MIDAS Standard Deviation Bands in Sideways Markets
360(1)
The MIDAS Standard Deviation Bands in Uptrends and Downtrends
361(2)
Band Adjustment for Shorter Timeframe Analysis
363(1)
The MSDBs and Narrowing Volatility
363(1)
Comparing the MSD with the MIDAS Displacement Channel
364(1)
Alternatives to Standard Deviation
365(3)
Trading with the MIDAS Standard Deviation Bands
368(2)
Summary
370(1)
Chapter 16 Nominal-On Balance Volume Curves (N-OBVs) and Volume-On Balance Curves (V-OBVs)
371(12)
Andrew Coles
On Balance Volume for the Uninitiated
371(2)
Nominal-On Balance Volume Curves
373(4)
The Dipper Setup
377(1)
Volume-On Balance Volume Curves
377(1)
Further Chart Illustrations
378(3)
Summary
381(2)
Chapter 17 Extensions, Insights, and New Departures in MIDAS Studies
383(20)
Andrew Coles
MIDAS Curves and Volume-Based Oscillators
384(5)
Correlation Analysis as an Effective Overbought/Oversold Oscillator
389(2)
The Contributions of Bob English
391(9)
Summary
400(3)
Appendix A Programming the TB-F 403(8)
David G. Hawkins
Appendix B MetaStock Code for the Standard MIDAS S/R Curves 411(2)
Andrew Coles
Appendix C TradeStation Code for the MIDAS Topfinder/Bottomfinder Curves 413(4)
Bob English
Notes 417(16)
About the Authors 433(2)
Index 435