Introduction |
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xiii | |
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Biographical Sketch, Paul H. Levine |
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xix | |
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Acknowledgments |
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xxi | |
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PART I STANDARD MIDAS SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE CURVES |
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Chapter 1 MIDAS and Its Core Constituents: The Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) and Fractal Market Analysis |
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3 | (26) |
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MIDAS and Its Two Key Backdrops: VWAP and Fractal Market Analysis |
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4 | (16) |
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The MIDAS Approach as a Genuine Standalone Trading System |
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20 | (6) |
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26 | (3) |
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Chapter 2 Applying Standard MIDAS Curves to the Investor Timeframes |
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29 | (32) |
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Definitions of Timeframes---The Triple Screen Trading Methodology |
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29 | (2) |
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MIDAS Curves within the Triple Screen System |
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31 | (1) |
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The Basic Behavior of the MIDAS Support/Resistance Curves |
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31 | (1) |
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32 | (3) |
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What Price Should Be Used? |
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35 | (1) |
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Support/Resistance Becomes Resistance/Support |
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35 | (4) |
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Distinguishing an Uptrend from a Trading Range |
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39 | (1) |
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40 | (1) |
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A Trading Range Turning into a Downtrend |
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41 | (2) |
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Tracking a Trend with a Hierarchy of MIDAS Curves |
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43 | (3) |
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MIDAS S/R Curves for Entry Setups and Triggers |
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46 | (2) |
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Same Launch Point, Different Timeframes |
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48 | (2) |
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Special Start Points---The Left Side |
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50 | (3) |
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Special Start Points---The Initial Public Offering (IPO) |
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53 | (2) |
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Special Starting Points---The Down Gap and Its Dead Cat Bounce |
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55 | (2) |
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Special Starting Points---The Highest R and the Lowest S |
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57 | (2) |
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59 | (2) |
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Chapter 3 MIDAS Support and Resistance (S/R) Curves and Day Trading |
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61 | (64) |
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Multiple Trend and Timeframe Analysis |
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62 | (6) |
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Part One The MIDAS System as a Standalone Day Trading System |
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68 | (14) |
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Part Two Using the MIDAS System alongside Other Technical Indicators |
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82 | (37) |
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Capturing Today's High and Low with Standard MIDAS S/R Curves |
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119 | (1) |
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120 | (5) |
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PART II THE MIDAS TOPFINDER/BOTTOMFINDER |
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Chapter 4 The MIDAS Topfinder/Bottomfinder on Intraday Charts |
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125 | (36) |
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Levine's Two Insights Governing the MIDAS Methodology |
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126 | (1) |
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Part One The Quantitative Features of the TB-F Algorithm |
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126 | (9) |
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Part Two The Engineering Aspect of TB-F Curves |
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135 | (24) |
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159 | (2) |
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Chapter 5 Applying the Topfinder/Bottomfinder to the Investor Timeframes |
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161 | (32) |
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161 | (1) |
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The Basic Program of the TB-F |
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162 | (1) |
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What is an Accelerated Trend? |
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162 | (1) |
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Discovering the Topfinder/Bottomfinder |
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163 | (2) |
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165 | (1) |
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An Interesting Mathematical Observation |
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166 | (1) |
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Fitting the TB-F Curve in Chart Views Other than Equivolume |
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167 | (3) |
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Fitting to More than One Pullback |
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170 | (8) |
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Nested TB-Fs: The Fractal Nature of the Market |
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178 | (2) |
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TB-F Curves on Different Timeframes |
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180 | (5) |
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Bottomfinders Are Sometimes Problematic |
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185 | (2) |
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What Comes after a TB-F Ends? |
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187 | (1) |
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188 | (5) |
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PART III THE LONGER-TERM HORIZON, OTHER VOLUME INDICATORS, AND BROADER PERSPECTIVES |
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Chapter 6 Applying MIDAS to Market Averages, ETFs, and Very Long-Term Timeframes |
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193 | (26) |
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Using MIDAS with the Indices---The S/R Curves |
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195 | (3) |
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The Validity of Volume Data |
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198 | (3) |
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Using MIDAS with the Indices---The TB-F |
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201 | (1) |
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Using Exchange-Traded Funds Instead of Market Indices |
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202 | (3) |
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MIDAS Applied to Long- and Very Long-Term Timeframes |
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205 | (4) |
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209 | (1) |
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209 | (2) |
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A Closer Look at the Very Long-Term |
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211 | (2) |
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The Very Long-Term Horizontal S/R Levels |
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213 | (1) |
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214 | (1) |
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What Can Be Said about the Very Long-Term Future? |
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215 | (3) |
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218 | (1) |
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Chapter 7 EquiVolume, MIDAS and Float Analysis |
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219 | (20) |
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The Basic Principle---"Volume Leads to Volume" |
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219 | (2) |
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Why Does Price Projection Work? |
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221 | (2) |
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The Connection between Price Projection and the Topfinder/Bottomfinder |
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223 | (1) |
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224 | (3) |
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Steve Woods' Float Analysis |
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227 | (3) |
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230 | (7) |
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237 | (2) |
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Chapter 8 Putting It All Together |
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239 | (18) |
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239 | (10) |
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249 | (2) |
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251 | (3) |
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254 | (3) |
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Chapter 9 Standard and Calibrated Curves |
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257 | (12) |
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Discovering the Calibrated Curves |
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257 | (1) |
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258 | (9) |
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267 | (2) |
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Chapter 10 Applying the MIDAS Method to Price Charts without Volume: A Study in the Cash Foreign Exchange Markets |
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269 | (16) |
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MIDAS and Cash Foreign Exchange Markets |
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269 | (1) |
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A Comparison of the MIDAS S/R Curves Using Cash FX Intraday Tick Data and Intraday Futures Volume Data |
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270 | (3) |
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A Comparison of the MIDAS Topfinder/Bottomfinder Curves Using Cash FX Intraday Tick Data and Intraday Futures Volume Data |
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273 | (2) |
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Options in the Cash Foreign Exchange Markets for Higher Timeframe Charts |
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275 | (1) |
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Options 1 and 3---Replacing Cash Forex Markets with Futures Markets or Currency ETFs/ETNs |
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276 | (1) |
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Using MIDAS S/R Curves in Markets without Volume: The Daily and Weekly Cash FX Charts |
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277 | (3) |
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Using MIDAS Topfinder/Bottomfinder Curves in Markets without Volume: The Daily and Weekly Cash FX Charts |
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280 | (3) |
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283 | (2) |
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Chapter 11 Four Relationships between Price and Volume and Their Impact on the Plotting of MIDAS Curves |
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285 | (12) |
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Relationships between Price and Volume Trends and the Four Rules Affecting the Plotting of MIDAS Curves |
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286 | (4) |
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Applying the Rules to Applications of Standard and Nominal MIDAS S/R Curves |
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290 | (4) |
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Using Relative Strength or Ratio Analysis |
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294 | (2) |
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296 | (1) |
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Chapter 12 MIDAS and the CFTC Commitments of Traders Report: Using MIDAS with Open Interest Data |
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297 | (34) |
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An Overview of Open Interest and Open Interest Data Options |
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298 | (1) |
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The Orthodox Interpretation of Changes in Open Interest |
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299 | (1) |
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A First Look at Standard MIDAS Support/Resistance Curves with Open Interest |
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300 | (2) |
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Pursuing MIDAS and Open Interest More Deeply |
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302 | (1) |
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Concise Overview of the Commitment of Traders (COT) Report |
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302 | (1) |
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Understanding the Main Players in the Legacy Report |
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303 | (1) |
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Identifying the Key Players in the COT Report |
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304 | (3) |
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Choosing the Appropriate Category of Open Interest |
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307 | (1) |
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MIDAS and Total Open Interest |
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308 | (4) |
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Choosing between Commercial and Noncommercial Positioning Data |
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312 | (3) |
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Measuring the Market with Commercial Net Positioning Data |
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315 | (3) |
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MIDAS and COT Report Timing |
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318 | (1) |
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Comparing the Commercial Net Positioning Indicators with MIDAS using Noncommercial Net Positioning Data |
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319 | (8) |
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327 | (1) |
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328 | (3) |
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Chapter 13 Price Porosity and Price Suspension: The Causes of these Phenomena and Several Partial Solutions |
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331 | (14) |
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Porosity and Suspension Illustrated |
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332 | (1) |
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Identifying the Cause of the Two Phenomena |
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333 | (1) |
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Solving the Problem of the Two Phenomena |
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334 | (8) |
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342 | (3) |
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Chapter 14 A MIDAS Displacement Channel for Congested Markets |
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345 | (14) |
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The Problem: Mean Reversion in Sideways Markets |
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346 | (2) |
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The Solution: Applying a Displacement Channel to Sideways Markets |
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348 | (1) |
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MIDAS Displacement Channel Methodology |
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349 | (1) |
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Trading Implications of the MDC |
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349 | (1) |
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Additional Forecasting Implications |
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349 | (1) |
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Additional Benefit: Applying the MDC to Trending Markets to Capture Swing Highs in Uptrends and Swing Lows in Downtrends |
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350 | (3) |
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Second Benefit: Applying the MDC to the Problem of Price Porosity |
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353 | (2) |
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Comparing the MDC with the Moving Average Envelope |
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355 | (1) |
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The MDC in Relation to Topfinder/Bottomfinder (TB-F) Curves |
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356 | (1) |
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The MDC in Relation to the MIDAS Standard Deviation Bands |
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356 | (1) |
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Features of the MDC in Relation to other Boundary Indicators |
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356 | (1) |
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357 | (2) |
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Chapter 15 MIDAS and Standard Deviation Bands |
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359 | (12) |
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The MIDAS Standard Deviation Bands in Sideways Markets |
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360 | (1) |
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The MIDAS Standard Deviation Bands in Uptrends and Downtrends |
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361 | (2) |
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Band Adjustment for Shorter Timeframe Analysis |
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363 | (1) |
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The MSDBs and Narrowing Volatility |
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363 | (1) |
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Comparing the MSD with the MIDAS Displacement Channel |
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364 | (1) |
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Alternatives to Standard Deviation |
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365 | (3) |
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Trading with the MIDAS Standard Deviation Bands |
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368 | (2) |
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370 | (1) |
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Chapter 16 Nominal-On Balance Volume Curves (N-OBVs) and Volume-On Balance Curves (V-OBVs) |
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371 | (12) |
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On Balance Volume for the Uninitiated |
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371 | (2) |
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Nominal-On Balance Volume Curves |
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373 | (4) |
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377 | (1) |
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Volume-On Balance Volume Curves |
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377 | (1) |
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Further Chart Illustrations |
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378 | (3) |
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381 | (2) |
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Chapter 17 Extensions, Insights, and New Departures in MIDAS Studies |
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383 | (20) |
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MIDAS Curves and Volume-Based Oscillators |
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384 | (5) |
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Correlation Analysis as an Effective Overbought/Oversold Oscillator |
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389 | (2) |
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The Contributions of Bob English |
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391 | (9) |
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400 | (3) |
Appendix A Programming the TB-F |
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403 | (8) |
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Appendix B MetaStock Code for the Standard MIDAS S/R Curves |
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411 | (2) |
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Appendix C TradeStation Code for the MIDAS Topfinder/Bottomfinder Curves |
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413 | (4) |
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Notes |
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417 | (16) |
About the Authors |
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433 | (2) |
Index |
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435 | |