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E-raamat: Modal Future: A Theory of Future-Directed Thought and Talk

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(University of Maryland, College Park)
  • Formaat: PDF+DRM
  • Ilmumisaeg: 01-Jul-2021
  • Kirjastus: Cambridge University Press
  • Keel: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9781108672801
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Modal Future: A Theory of Future-Directed Thought and TalkSuurem pilt
  • Formaat: PDF+DRM
  • Ilmumisaeg: 01-Jul-2021
  • Kirjastus: Cambridge University Press
  • Keel: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9781108672801
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It is commonly assumed that we conceive of the past and the future as symmetrical. In this book, Fabrizio Cariani develops a new theory of future-directed discourse and thought that shows that our linguistic and philosophical conceptions of the past and future are, in fact, fundamentally different. Future thought and talk, Cariani suggests, are best understood in terms of a systematic analogy with counterfactual thought and talk, and are not just mirror images of the past. Cariani makes this case by developing detailed formal semantic theories as well as by advancing less technical views about the nature of future-directed judgment and prediction. His book addresses in a thought-provoking way several important debates in contemporary philosophy, and his synthesis of parallel threads of research will benefit scholars in the philosophy of language, metaphysics, epistemology, linguistics and cognitive science.

Arvustused

The Modal Future succeeds in both being rigorous and highly readable. Cariani employs a careful methodology, drawing distinctions between various issues and theses that are oftentimes conflated or overlooked in the literature. The rich argumentation adeptly integrates insights from linguistics, metaphysics, and epistemology, making substantial contributions to recent debates concerning the open future, assertion, prediction, foreknowledge, and also providing a novel and attractive account of the semantics of future discourse. Stephan Torre, University of Aberdeen

Muu info

A study of the interactions between the semantics, epistemology and metaphysics of the future.
List of Figures
xi
Preface xiii
List of Conventions and Abbreviations
xvii
Introduction xviii
PART I BACKGROUND
1 The Symmetric Paradigm
3(16)
1.1 The Symmetric Paradigm
3(1)
1.2 Symmetric Semantics
4(6)
1.3 The Symmetric Paradigm Contextualized
10(4)
1.4 Temporal Ontology and Symmetric Semantics
14(3)
Appendix: The Logic Kt
17(2)
2 Symmetric Semantics In An Asymmetric World
19(24)
2.1 Branching Metaphysics
20(1)
2.2 Branching Models
21(6)
2.3 Symmetric Semantics on Branching Models
27(6)
2.4 Ways of Being an Ockhamist
33(1)
2.5 Interpreting Branching Models
34(9)
PART II THE ROAD TO SELECTION SEMANTICS
3 The Modal Challenge
43(16)
3.1 What Is a Modal?
44(2)
3.2 The Argument from Common Morphology
46(2)
3.3 The Argument from Present-Directed Uses
48(2)
3.4 The Argument from Modal Subordination
50(4)
3.5 The Argument from Acquaintance Inferences
54(3)
3.6 Morals and Distinctions
57(2)
4 Modality Without Quantification
59(18)
4.1 Quantificational Theories
60(2)
4.2 Universal Analyses and Retrospective Evaluations
62(1)
4.3 Prior's Bet Objection
63(1)
4.4 The Zero Credence Problem
64(3)
4.5 Scope with Negation
67(2)
4.6 Homogeneity
69(3)
4.7 Neg-Raising to the Rescue?
72(5)
5 Basic Selection Semantics
77(20)
5.1 Selection Semantics: A First Look
78(4)
5.2 Basic Versions of Selection Semantics
82(3)
5.3 Notions of Validity: A Primer
85(2)
5.4 Logical Features of Selection Semantics
87(1)
5.5 Solving the Zero Credence Problem
88(1)
5.6 Modal Subordination
89(2)
5.7 Present-Directed Uses of Will
91(2)
5.8 Revisiting the Acquaintance Inference
93(4)
PART III DEVELOPING SELECTION SEMANTICS
6 Between Will And Might
97(23)
6.1 The Bug
97(3)
6.2 The Bug Amplified: Future Might Contradictions
100(3)
6.3 Kissine's Argument
103(2)
6.4 The Epistemic Patch
105(3)
6.5 The Relational Patch
108(3)
6.6 On Coordinated Informational Entailment
111(4)
6.7 Epistemic Relationalism?
115(2)
Appendix: Proofs
117(3)
7 Future Orientation
120(16)
7.1 Revisiting the Formalism
121(1)
7.2 Hybrid Approaches
122(1)
7.3 Temporal Selection
123(1)
7.4 The Future Orientation of Modals
124(1)
7.5 Theoretical Background
125(2)
7.6 Selection Semantics, Condoravdi Style
127(5)
7.7 Applications
132(4)
8 Neo-Stalnakerian Conditionals
136(27)
8.1 Preliminaries
137(1)
8.2 Stalnaker's Semantics for Conditionals
138(5)
8.3 Will-Conditionals in Selection Semantics
143(3)
8.4 Logical Patterns in the Factorized Analysis
146(3)
8.5 The Generalized Factorization Analysis
149(3)
8.6 Counterhistorical Restriction
152(2)
8.7 On the Proliferation of Covert Modals
154(1)
8.8 Collapse and the Identity Principle
154(4)
Appendix: Proofs
158(5)
PART IV ASSERTION, PREDICTION, AND THE FUTURE
9 On Predicting
163(27)
9.1 Predicting ≠ Forecasting: An Easy Piece
165(2)
9.2 Predicting versus Asserting
167(4)
9.3 The Future Discovery View
171(4)
9.4 The Proper Expectation Account
175(5)
9.5 The Synthetic View
180(4)
9.6 Predicting and Asserting
184(1)
9.7 Predicting and Theoretical Prediction
185(5)
10 Assertion Troubles
190(18)
10.1 Two Notions of Assertibility
192(1)
10.2 The Original Assertion Problem
193(2)
10.3 The Normative Assertion Problem
195(4)
10.4 Against Concessive Solutions
199(3)
10.5 Weaker Rules
202(4)
10.6 Non-normative Conceptions of Assertion
206(2)
11 Thin Red Lines Without Tears
208(27)
11.1 What Is the Open Future Hypothesis?
209(2)
11.2 Metaphysical Indeterminacy
211(2)
11.3 Context, Content, and Indeterminacy
213(3)
11.4 Indeterminate Normative Statuses
216(2)
11.5 The Lifting Argument
218(2)
11.6 Assertion Problems Solved
220(1)
11.7 Objections against TRL: Belnap and Green
221(7)
11.8 Objections against TRL: MacFarlane
228(1)
11.9 Conclusion
229(1)
Appendix: Proofs
230(5)
PART V FUTURE COGNITION AND EPISTEMOLOGY: SOME THEMES
12 Imagining And Simulating The Future
235(20)
12.1 The Simulation Heuristic
237(4)
12.2 Simulation and Counterfactuals
241(5)
12.3 Varieties and Degrees of Mental Simulation
246(4)
12.4 Simulation and Inference
250(3)
12.5 Future Judgment and Inductive Reasoning
253(2)
13 On The Direct Evidence Inference
255(23)
13.1 Ninan on the Direct Evidence Inference: Background
256(1)
13.2 Ninan on the Direct Evidence Inference: The Puzzles
257(2)
13.3 Amplifying the Puzzles
259(2)
13.4 The Available Evidence Account
261(3)
13.5 On Future Normalcy
264(5)
13.6 The Lexical Account: First Steps
269(4)
13.7 The Lexical Account: Developments
273(2)
13.8 The Lexical Account: Complications
275(3)
Bibliography 278(13)
Index 291
Fabrizio Cariani is Associate Professor of Philosophy at the University of Maryland, College Park. He has published extensively on the philosophy of language, epistemology and logic, and is editor of the journal Philosopher's Imprint.
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