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E-raamat: Modeling Sociocultural Influences on Decision Making: Understanding Conflict, Enabling Stability

Edited by , Edited by , Edited by , Edited by (University of Central Florida, Orlando, USA)
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In our increasingly globally interconnected world, understanding and appreciating the sociocultural context within which individuals make their decisions is critical to developing successful partnerships. The collection of chapters in this volume illustrates how advances in information and social media technologies, as well as modeling and simulation tools, combined with the social sciences, can be leveraged to better understand how sociocultural context influences decision making.

The chapters in this volume were contributed by leading experts from academia, industry, and government and provide:





Insights into cross-cultural decision making based on recent international events, with grounding in an historical context Discussions of cutting-edge modeling techniques used today by professionals across multiple organizations and agencies Descriptions of specific cross-cultural decision making tools designed for use by laypeople and professionals Case studies on the role of cross-cultural decision making grounded in current events and (in many cases) military applications.

Arvustused

"The structure of the book is excellent and gives a framework for organizing ideas in this complex area. Hopefully books like this will by a catalyst for more work in the area and a further maturation of the models and what we can use them for." Rudolph Darken, Naval Postgraduate School, USA

"I think this book will impact current and future work in the areas that form the intersection of applied social science, computer science, and sociocultural methods. It provides an integrated stance on very complex social and computational issues while retaining a sense for practical application. The book offers a nice blend of theoretical, methodological, and application-focused chapters that will aid a reader in learning about sociocultural topics and applying cutting-edge methods to the real-world issues. The editors have successfully compiled a diverse set of experts to explore very challenging issues that have very real implications for the military, and more broadly, the global business and social domains." Joseph B. Lyons, Air Force Research Laboratory, USA

Foreword xiii
Editors xix
Contributors xxi
Introduction xxv
Section I Building Theories
1 Expeditionary Modeling for Megacities and Other Dense Urban Areas
5(22)
Brian P. Kettler
Rachel G. Hingst
Mark A. Hoffman
2 More than Just a Story: Narrative Insights into Comprehension, Ideology, and Decision Making
27(16)
Scott W. Ruston
3 The Spread of Information via Social Media
43(18)
Brian M. Fairlie
4 The Spread of Opinions in Societies
61(24)
Boleslaw K. Szymanski
Omar Lizardo
Casey Doyle
Panagiotis D. Karampourniotis
Pramesh Singh
Gyorgy Korniss
Jonathan Z. Bakdash
5 Culture's Influences on Cognitive Reflection
85(18)
Vladimira Cavojova
Robert Hanak
6 Cultural Influences on Cognitive Biases in Judgment and Decision Making: On the Need for New Theory and Models for Accidents and Safety
103(12)
Atsuo Murata
Section II Collecting and Analyzing Data
7 The Sixty Percent Mission: An Introduction to High-Risk Ethnography Process and Protocol in Support of the US Army's Civil Affairs Humanitarian Mission
115(20)
Tracy Saint Benoit
Clarissa Graffeo
Mark A. Carter
Richard Swisher
8 Challenges in Connecting with the Disconnected: An Introduction to Connecting with Communities Disconnected from the Rest of the World
135(28)
Christina S. Kang
9 They Are Beyond WEIRD: Helpful Frameworks for Conducting Non-WEIRD Research
163(18)
David J. Y. Combs
Sarai Blincoe
Christopher P. Garris
Eric S. Vorm
10 Deciphering the Emic Perspective in Data in Order to Assess Threat
181(24)
Laurie Fenstermacher
Lawrence A. Kuznar
11 Collecting Data and Semantic Content via Mobile Devices
205(16)
Alper Caglayan
Laura Cassani
12 Measuring Changes in Attitudes: Using Factor Analysis to Track Population Attitudes Spatially and Temporally
221(22)
Joseph Maddux
Jeffrey Appleget
13 Gaining Insight by Applying Geographical Modeling
243(26)
Erman Cakit
Waldemar Karwowski
Section III Building and Validating Sociocultural Models
14 Sociocultural Capability Requirements across All Phases of Military Operations
269(20)
Walter L. Perry
15 Methods to Characterize and Manage Uncertainty for Sociocultural Applications
289(26)
Perakath Benjamin
Kalyan Vadakkeveedu
Satheesh Ramachandran
16 Validating Causal and Predictive Claims in Sociocultural Models
315(20)
Amy Sliva
Scott Neil Reilly
John Chamberlain
Randy Casstevens
17 Rapid Generation of Political Conflict Simulations for Scenarios around the World
335(26)
Barry G. Silverman
David Q. Sun
Nathan Weyer
Gnana K. Bharathy
18 Detailed Model Development Case Study: The Peace Game
361(36)
Matthew J. Powers
Section IV Applying Sociocultural Models to Gain Insight into Conflict and Instability
19 Using the Social Framework Model of Trust to Better Understand Trust in Government
397(26)
Walter W. Kulzy
David J. Y. Combs
Ronald D. Fricker, Jr.
20 Understanding Public Opinion toward Violent Extremists
423(26)
Lewis A. Anderson
Ronald D. Fricker, Jr.
21 Modeling Sociocultural Influences on Decision Making: Assessing Conflict and Stability
449(24)
Michael L. Bernard
George A. Backus
Asmeret Bier Naugle
Robert F. Jeffers
Regan W. Damron
22 Modeling Social System Resiliency: An Agent-Based Multiscale Approach
473(22)
Steven B. Hall
Curtis L. Blais
Ryan G. Baird
23 Applying Modeling and Simulation to Foreign Policy: An Afghan Example
495(16)
Corey Lofdahl
Subject Index 511(24)
Author Index 535
 Joseph V. Cohn, PhD, earned his BS in biology from the University of IllinoisUrbana



Champaign in 1993. He earned his PhD in neuroscience from Brandeis University in 1998.



He has coauthored more than 100 publications and presented talks to national and international



professional conferences on a host of topics, ranging from foundational neuroscience



to the nature of technical innovation. He has coedited a three-volume book series



focusing on all aspects of training system development and a single-volume book on



enhancing human performance in high-risk environments. He has received industry and



professional society awards for his research across the spectrum of the human performance



and biomedical sciences. He cochaired the Applied Human Factors and Ergonomics



Associations Cross-Cultural Decision Making Conference from 2013 to 2015 and is a fellow



of the American Psychological Association and the Society of Military Psychologists,



as well as an associate fellow of the Aerospace Medical Association.



Sae Schatz, PhD, is an applied human-systems researcher, learning science professional,



and cognitive scientist. She has headed an array of applied research efforts, authored more



than 50 peer-reviewed scholarly publications, led the development of three military textbooks,



and received industry awards for both her publications and her research efforts.



Schatz cochairs the Applied Human Factors and Ergonomics Associations Cross-Cultural



Decision Making Conference (2013), is a service principal for the Interservice/Industry



Training, Simulation and Education Conference (2015), and supports international science



and technology working groups associated with the North Atlantic Treaty Organization,



Partnership for Peace, and The Technical Cooperation Program. Schatz also maintains



close ties with her alma mater, the University of Central Florida, where she earned her



PhD in human systems in modeling and simulation in 2008.



Hannah Freeman earned her Bachelor of Arts degrees in international studies (Russian



and Eastern European studies) and Hispanic studies from Illinois Wesleyan University,



where she was awarded Phi Beta Kappa, in 2012. Freeman earned her Master of Science



degree in comparative politics (conflict studies) from The London School of Economics



and Political Science in 2013, where she also received a Russian Language Certificate. Her



research interests include the former Soviet Union and Soviet bloc, post-Soviet Russia,



human rights, national and ethnic conflict, radicalization, political violence, and terrorism.



David J. Y. Combs, PhD, earned his BA in psychology from Simpson University in 2003.



He earned his PhD in experimental social psychology from the University of Kentucky in



2010. He has also completed certifications in political psychology (Stanford University),



analysis of incomplete data sets (University of Michigan), and AfghanistanPakistan



regional expertise. He has completed additional coursework (applied survey sampling)



with The George Washington University. He has coauthored dozens of papers, conference



presentations, and book chapters on social psychological topics such as trust, attitude



change, experience of humiliation, and emotions resulting from political events. He is



especially interested in applying social psychological theory and methods to understanding



cross-cultural interactions within the irregular warfare context.