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E-raamat: Parametric Statistical Change Point Analysis: With Applications to Genetics, Medicine, and Finance

  • Formaat: PDF+DRM
  • Ilmumisaeg: 06-Nov-2011
  • Kirjastus: Birkhauser Boston Inc
  • Keel: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9780817648015
  • Formaat - PDF+DRM
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  • Formaat: PDF+DRM
  • Ilmumisaeg: 06-Nov-2011
  • Kirjastus: Birkhauser Boston Inc
  • Keel: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9780817648015

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This revised and expanded second edition is an in-depth study of the change point problem from a general point of view, as well as a further examination of change point analysis of the most commonly used statistical models. Change point problems are encountered in such disciplines as economics, finance, medicine, psychology, signal processing, and geology, to mention only several. More recently, change point analysis has been found in extensive applications related to analyzing biomedical imaging data, array Comparative Genomic Hybridization (aCGH) data, and gene expression data. 

The exposition throughout the work is clear and systematic, with a great deal of introductory material included. Different models are presented in each chapter, including gamma and exponential models, rarely examined thus far in the literature. Extensive examples throughout the text emphasize key concepts and different methodologies used, namely the likelihood ratio criterion as well as the Bayesian and information criterion approaches. New examples of change point analysis in modern molecular biology and other fields such as finance and air traffic control are added in this second edition. Also included are two new chapters on change points in the hazard function and other practical change point models such as the epidemic change point model and a smooth-and-abrupt change point model. An up-to-date comprehensive bibliography and two indices round out the work.

Arvustused

From the reviews of the second edition:

The book summarizes several fundamental approaches in dealing with parametric change point models including likelihood, information criteria, and the Bayesian method. The book serves as an excellent graduate-level textbook for students in statistics, biostatistics, and econometrics, and is a must-read reference for researchers and practitioners on change point models. (Yanhong Wu, Mathematical Reviews, September, 2013)

"The book summarizes recent developments in parametric change-point analysis. The emphases are on the discussion of a variety of models and formation of test statistics based on three basic methods, namely, the generalized likelihood ratio test (GLRT), Bayesian and information criterion approaches. The main results focus on deriving asymptotically null distributions for the corresponding tests. A major contribution made by the authors is the use of an information criterion to form a test statistic. Another attractive feature is the application of different models to a variety of different data sets...Overall, the book gives a clear and systematic presentation of the models and methods. It will be an excellent source for theoretical and applied statisticians who are interested in research on change-point analysis and its applications to many areas."   Mathematical Reviews (Review of the First Edition)

"This work is concerned with aposteriori methods of parametric statistical change point analysis...Illustrative examples and useful numerical tables are provided throughout the book."  Zentralblatt MATH (Review of the First Edition)

"The statistical theory of change point analysis is now well developed, and the monograph under review represents a timely account of a part of it. The book contains [ a] detailed explanation of some technical papers on parametric change point analysis. Considerable effort is devoted topresenting detailed proofs of the asymptotic distributions of likelihood procedures based on test statistics for univariate and multivariate normal distributions. The book is generally aimed at researchers and graduate students with a good background in probability and asymptotic theory...In summary, the monograph under review is timely and a good starting point for both researchers and theoretically strong graduate students interested in pursuing theoretical research in nonsequential parametric single-path change point problems."   SIAM Review (Review of the First Edition)

"Change point detection is of importance in engineering, economics, medicine, science and several fields. This book offers an in-depth study of the problem in some parametric models...The book partially relies on research papers written by the authors. For the reader's convenience, detailed calculations establishing the results are included. On the other hand, examples and statistical tables help the application-oriented reader. Statisticians in science, engineering and finance will find this book useful. It can be recommended also to students, both undergraduate and graduate."   Publicationes Mathematicae (Review of the First Edition)

"In this monograph under review, the authors collect and describe a series of important models in change point analysis which have proved to be useful in statistical applications...The majority of change point procedures discussed here is for (univariate or multivariate) normal models. This is because such models are very popular and widely used in practice. But other parametric models, like the gamma, exponential, binomial or Poisson model, are also studied...[ This] monograph can serve as a useful reference text for various purposes. The advanced student should be encouraged to do some [ of his] own research work in an interesting area, the researcher will find a comprehensive exposition of recent developments, and the appliedstatistician will have a useful collection of change point methods and procedures, illustrated by many numerical examples of real data sets from different applications."   Statistics & Decisions (Review of the First Edition)  

Preface to the Second Edition vii
Preface to the First Edition ix
1 Preliminaries 1(6)
1.1 Introduction
1(1)
1.2 Problems
2(1)
1.3 Underlying Models and Methodology
3(4)
2 Univariate Normal Model 7(82)
2.1 Mean Change
8(27)
2.1.1 Variance Known
9(11)
2.1.2 Variance Unknown
20(4)
2.1.3 Application to Biomedical Data
24(11)
2.2 Variance Change
35(22)
2.2.1 Likelihood-Ratio Procedure
35(11)
2.2.2 Informational Approach
46(6)
2.2.3 Other Methods
52(3)
2.2.4 Application to Stock Market Data
55(2)
2.3 Mean and Variance Change
57(32)
2.3.1 Likelihood-Ratio Procedure
58(20)
2.3.2 Informational Approach
78(6)
2.3.3 Application to Biomedical Data
84(5)
3 Multivariate Normal Model 89(50)
3.1 Mean Vector Change
89(10)
3.1.1 Likelihood-Ratio Procedure
90(4)
3.1.2 Informational Approach
94(1)
3.1.3 Applications to Geology and Literature Data
95(4)
3.2 Covariance Change
99(20)
3.2.1 Likelihood-Ratio Procedure
100(9)
3.2.2 Informational Approach
109(6)
3.2.3 Application to Multivariate Stock Market Data
115(4)
3.3 Mean Vector and Covariance Change
119(20)
3.3.1 Likelihood-Ratio Procedure
120(9)
3.3.2 Informational Approach
129(6)
3.3.3 Examples
135(4)
4 Regression Models 139(16)
4.1 Literature Review
139(1)
4.2 Simple Linear Regression Model
140(9)
4.2.1 Informational Approach
140(3)
4.2.2 Bayesian Approach
143(4)
4.2.3 Application to Stock Market Data
147(2)
4.3 Multiple Linear Regression Model
149(6)
4.3.1 Informational Approach
149(3)
4.3.2 Bayesian Approach
152(3)
5 Gamma Model 155(18)
5.1 Problem
155(1)
5.2 A Solution
156(8)
5.3 Informational Approach
164(2)
5.4 Bayesian Approach
166(3)
5.5 Application to Stock Market and Air Traffic Data
169(1)
5.6 Another Type of Change
170(3)
6 Exponential Model 173(16)
6.1 Problem
173(1)
6.2 Likelihood-Ratio Procedure
173(7)
6.3 An Alternate Approach
180(5)
6.4 Informational Approach
185(1)
6.5 Application to Air Traffic Data
186(3)
7 Change Point Model for Hazard Function 189(10)
7.1 Introduction
189(1)
7.2 The Bayesian Approach
190(4)
7.3 The Informational Approach
194(3)
7.4 Simulation Results
197(2)
8 Discrete Models 199(16)
8.1 Introduction
199(1)
8.2 Binomial Model
199(8)
8.2.1 Likelihood-Ratio Procedure
199(3)
8.2.2 Cumulative Sum Test (CUSUM)
202(1)
8.2.3 Null Distributions of L and Q
202(2)
8.2.4 Alternative Distribution Functions of L and Q
204(3)
8.3 Poisson Model
207(3)
8.3.1 Likelihood-Ratio Procedure
207(2)
8.3.2 Null Distribution of L
209(1)
8.4 Informational Approach
210(3)
8.5 Application to Medical Data
213(2)
9 Other Change Point Models 215(42)
9.1 The Smooth-and-Abrupt Change Point Model
215(5)
9.1.1 Introduction
215(2)
9.1.2 A Bayesian Solution to the SACP Model
217(3)
9.1.3 Empirical Evaluation of the Change Point Location Estimates
220(1)
9.2 Application of SACP Model to Gene Expression Data
220(1)
9.3 The Epidemic Change Point Model for Exponential Distribution
221(12)
9.3.1 A Likelihood-Ratio-Based Statistic T
223(6)
9.3.2 Likelihood-Ratio Test Statistic
229(3)
9.3.3 Power Comparisons of the Four Tests
232(1)
9.4 The Epidemic Change Point Model for the Exponential Family
233(24)
9.4.1 Derivation of the LRT Statistic
234(3)
9.4.2 Asymptotic Null Distribution of the Statistic Qn
237(2)
9.4.3 Asymptotic Behavior of the MLEs of the Change Points
239(7)
9.4.4 Asymptotic Nonnull Distribution of Qn
246(11)
Bibliography 257(10)
Author Index 267(4)
Subject Index 271