| Preface |
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x | |
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1 | (14) |
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1 | (1) |
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The terms of reference and methodology |
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2 | (13) |
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2 The dynamics of Saudi strategic culture and the decisionmaking process |
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15 | (23) |
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Where does Saudi thinking fit in? |
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15 | (1) |
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The decisionmaking process in Saudi Arabia |
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16 | (5) |
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The cultural facet of national security: Saudi views of Iran |
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21 | (3) |
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The centrality of regime legitimacy |
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24 | (14) |
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3 Developing nuclear threat assessments |
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38 | (10) |
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Threat assessments and intelligence |
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38 | (1) |
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The evolution of Saudi nuclear threat assessments |
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39 | (4) |
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Mobilizing public opinion |
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43 | (5) |
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4 Analyzing the threat in Riyadh: Why would a nuclear Iran be so dangerous? |
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48 | (13) |
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Iran's nuclear program: military or civilian? |
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49 | (1) |
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Creating a new Iranian hegemony |
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49 | (3) |
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Exporting the revolution and "offensive deterrence" |
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52 | (1) |
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Nuclear weapons and warfighting |
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53 | (3) |
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The threat to Saudi Arabia's economy |
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56 | (5) |
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5 Thinking in terms of solutions: How to stop Iran |
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61 | (17) |
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Doing nothing and accommodating Iran |
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61 | (2) |
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A foreign nuclear umbrella as an alternative? |
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63 | (4) |
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Considering the active options---striking or squeezing Iran's nuclear program? |
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67 | (4) |
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71 | (7) |
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6 Thinking in terms of solutions: The evolution in Saudi thinking toward a nuclear option |
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78 | (24) |
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Saudi Arabia's traditional stand on nuclear weapons |
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78 | (1) |
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The shift to promoting nuclear weapons |
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79 | (3) |
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Developing the conceptual thinking and policy considerations for nuclear weapons |
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82 | (7) |
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Accounting for Saudi openness |
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89 | (1) |
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The potential mechanics of acquisition |
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90 | (12) |
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7 Thinking about the utility of nuclear weapons: Deterrence and beyond |
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102 | (27) |
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Conceptualizing nuclear deterrence |
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102 | (5) |
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Saudi Arabia in a hostile world and the political power of nuclear weapons |
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107 | (4) |
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Drawing lessons from North Korea |
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111 | (3) |
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How to implement deterrence |
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114 | (3) |
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Developing the country's supporting infrastructure |
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117 | (12) |
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8 Where does the civilian nuclear power sector fit in? |
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129 | (8) |
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Riyadh's civilian nuclear energy plans |
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129 | (1) |
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Nuclear energy and national security |
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130 | (7) |
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9 A nuclear environment and foreign policy: Reshaping relations within the Gulf |
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137 | (12) |
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Confirming Saudi Arabia's leading role in the Gulf Cooperation Council |
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137 | (1) |
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Flexing a potential Saudi nuclear muscle |
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138 | (1) |
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Increasing Saudi leverage with the international community |
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139 | (1) |
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Promoting the idea of GCC union |
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140 | (1) |
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141 | (8) |
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10 The Rouhani era in Tehran and a new age of anxiety in Riyadh |
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149 | (37) |
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149 | (2) |
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The difficult Riyadh--Tehran--Washington triangle |
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151 | (5) |
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Iran's nuclear threat, Riyadh, and the GCC |
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156 | (2) |
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The long wait and mounting Saudi anxiety |
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158 | (5) |
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Intensifying activism abroad to influence the nuclear negotiations |
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163 | (3) |
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The April 2015 Framework Agreement and the May 2015 Camp David Summit |
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166 | (4) |
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Riyadh's continuing nuclear warnings |
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170 | (16) |
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11 Coming to terms with the 14 July 2015 nuclear agreement: Saudi anxiety overcome? |
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186 | (26) |
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The July 2015 Nuclear Agreement: initial Saudi reactions |
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186 | (1) |
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The Saudi media: "debating" the Agreement |
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187 | (6) |
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193 | (2) |
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195 | (1) |
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Closing the circle---King Salman's September 2015 visit to Washington |
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196 | (16) |
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12 Conclusions and implications |
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212 | (24) |
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A Saudi nuclear path is likely... if... |
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212 | (3) |
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Saudi Arabia and proliferation models: commonalities and uniqueness |
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215 | (1) |
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Does the realist model apply? |
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215 | (2) |
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217 | (5) |
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Saudi Arabia: a complex case |
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222 | (1) |
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International leverage on proliferation may sometimes be limited |
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223 | (2) |
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Modifying the threat environment can help |
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225 | (1) |
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Opening the door to further proliferation? |
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226 | (1) |
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Saudi nuclear proliferation: does it matter? |
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227 | (9) |
| Index |
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236 | |