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E-raamat: Small-Area Income and Poverty Estimates: Priorities for 2000 and Beyond

  • Formaat: 220 pages
  • Ilmumisaeg: 25-Aug-2000
  • Kirjastus: National Academies Press
  • Keel: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9780309501736
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  • Formaat: 220 pages
  • Ilmumisaeg: 25-Aug-2000
  • Kirjastus: National Academies Press
  • Keel: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9780309501736

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Recent trends in federal policies for social and economic programs have increased the demand for timely, accurate estimates of income and poverty for states, counties, and even smaller areas. Every year more than $130 billion in federal funds is allocated to states and localities through formulas that use such estimates. These funds support a wide range of programs that include child care, community development, education, job training, nutrition, and public health.



A new program of the U.S. Census Bureau is now providing more timely estimates for these programs than those from the decennial census, which have been used for many years. These new estimates are being used to allocate more than $7 billion annually to school districts, through the Title I program that supports educationally disadvantaged children.



But are these estimates as accurate as possible given the available data? How can the statistical models and data that are used to develop the estimates be improved? What should policy makers consider in selecting particular estimates? This new book from the National Research Council provides guidance for improving the Census Bureau's program and for policy makers who use such estimates for allocating funds.

Table of Contents



Front Matter Executive Summary 1 Introduction 2 Needs for Small-Area Income and Poverty Estimates 3 Current SAIPE Models 4 Future Model Develpment: The Role of Surveys 5 Future Model Development: The Role of Administrative Records 6 Using Estimates in Allocation Formulas 7 Recommendations for Producers and Users Appendix: Interactions Between Survey Estimates and Federal Funding Formulas References and Bibliography Biographical Sketches of Panel Members and Staff
Executive Summary 1(2) Conclusion 2(1) Using Estimates in Programs 2(1) Recommendations for Producers and Users 3(1) Recommendations for SAIPE 4(7) Introduction 11(7) Background 12(2) SAIPE in Brief 14(2) Plan of the Report 16(2) Needs for Small-Area Income and Poverty Estimates 18(26) Program Trends 18(4) Requirements for Estimates 22(12) Data Sources 34(8) Conclusion 42(2) Current SAIPE Models 44(38) User Overview 44(3) Models for Poor School-Age Children 47(16) Other SAIPE Models 63(3) Population Estimates 66(6) Priorities for SAIPE Model Development 72(9) Conclusion 81(1) Future Model Development: The Role of Surveys 82(43) User Overview 82(4) Survey Features 86(14) Uses of Surveys for SAIPE 100(1) Evaluating Alternative Uses 101(12) Analysis and Conclusions 113(12) Future Model Development: The Role of Administrative Records 125(25) Overview 125(2) Tax Return Data 127(3) Food Stamp Data 130(3) Geocoding with TIGER and MAF 133(4) School Lunch Data 137(5) Data Needs for Population Estimates 142(6) Recommendations 148(2) Using Estimates in Allocation Formulas 150(11) Overview 150(3) Bias 153(1) Variability 154(5) Conclusion 159(2) Recommendations for Producers and Users 161(6) Production of Estimates 162(3) Use of Estimates 165(1) Deciding to Use Estimates for Programs 166(1) Appendix: Interactions Between Survey Estimates and Federal Funding Formulas 167(24) Alan M. Zaslavsky Allen L. Schirm References and Bibliography 191(10) Biographical Sketches of Panel Members and Staff 201
Constance F. Citro and Graham Kalton; Editors, Panel on Estimates of Poverty for Small Geographic Area, Committee on National Statistics, National Research Council