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E-raamat: Strategy, Value and Risk: Industry Dynamics and Advanced Financial Management

  • Formaat: EPUB+DRM
  • Sari: Global Financial Markets
  • Ilmumisaeg: 12-Sep-2019
  • Kirjastus: Springer Nature Switzerland AG
  • Keel: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9783030219789
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  • Formaat: EPUB+DRM
  • Sari: Global Financial Markets
  • Ilmumisaeg: 12-Sep-2019
  • Kirjastus: Springer Nature Switzerland AG
  • Keel: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9783030219789

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The current transformation of the global economy is being driven by new fundamental innovations, digitalization, industry dynamics and climate change. The impact of this transformation in terms of value migration, industry boundaries, investment and firm continuity is vast. The fourth edition of Strategy, Value and Risk examines these issues, and how they will influence firms and industries in the future. Those aspects of the business environment that will have a significant impact on strategy, business models, investments and value are identified, and the accounting, finance, economic and quantitative principles that provide a foundation for the analysis of these issues are discussed.

Part I: Strategy, Value and Risk provides the strategic, economic, accounting and financial framework. Strategy discusses technology and innovation, industry dynamics, globalization and industry concentration, climate change, industry boundaries and future value. Value discusses the accounting framework and corporate finance and investment, while Risk covers investment risk, corporate risk management and value and risk. Part II: Quantitative Analytics provides an overview of financial statistics, derivatives and derivative applications, and provides a background on the financial economics used in the analysis of physical, intangible, financial and energy assets. Part III: The Analysis of Investments, Transformation and Value examines platforms, data and analytics, the energy sector, pharmaceutical and biotech, a growth firm and media transformation, and applies the accounting, economic, financial and quantitative concepts.

This fourth edition lays out scenarios that will likely shape firms and industries in the future, and has relevance to CFOs, corporate finance and investment professionals. Business model disruption, data and analytics, intangible assets and dynamic analysis are now key issues within the CFO role. Investment professionals are required to see the larger economic environment in which firms compete, assess a firm’s industry and its position within that industry, recognize which investments best serve its broad strategic goals and identify a firm’s capabilities and options.

A background in the accounting, finance, economic, quantitative and valuation concepts that are relevant to the digital economy, new industries, business models and technologies is essential for finance professionals. This book addresses these issues within the context of the fundamental changes underway in the global economy, and provides applications of the techniques to illustrate the concepts.

Part I Strategy, Value and Risk
1(70)
1 Strategy
3(26)
1.1 Strategy and Value
3(1)
1.2 The External Environment
4(12)
1.2.1 Technology and Innovation
4(3)
1.2.2 Industry Dynamics
7(5)
1.2.3 Industry and Globalization
12(2)
1.2.4 Industry and Climate Change
14(2)
1.3 Transformation and the Firm
16(13)
1.3.1 Innovation and the Firm
16(2)
1.3.2 Industry Boundaries
18(2)
1.3.3 Strategy and the Environment
20(2)
1.3.4 Future Value
22(2)
Appendix: Classifying Industry Sectors Today
24(1)
Bibliography
25(4)
2 Value
29(34)
2.1 Overview
29(1)
2.2 The Accounting Foundations
30(13)
2.2.1 Stocks and Flows
31(3)
2.2.2 Ratio Analysis
34(3)
2.2.3 Residual Earnings and Free Cash Flows
37(1)
2.2.4 Intangible Assets and Intellectual Property
38(1)
2.2.5 Pro Forma Analysis
39(4)
2.3 Corporate Investments
43(10)
2.3.1 Investment Methods
43(1)
2.3.2 DCF Valuation
44(1)
2.3.3 The Net Present Value Rule
45(1)
2.3.4 Real Options
46(1)
2.3.5 Valuing Real Options
47(3)
2.3.6 Types of Real Options
50(3)
2.4 Corporate Finance
53(5)
2.4.1 Overview
53(1)
2.4.2 Theories of Firm Value
54(1)
2.4.3 Developments in the Theories of Firm Value
55(3)
2.5 Optimizing the Firm Structure
58(5)
Appendix: Modularity
59(1)
Bibiography
60(3)
3 Risk
63(8)
3.1 Investment Risk
63(2)
3.2 Corporate Risk Management
65(2)
3.3 The Risk Drivers
67(1)
3.4 Value and Risk
68(3)
Bibliography
69(2)
Part II Quantitative Analytics
71(56)
4 Financial Statistics
73(10)
4.1 Time Series Analysis
73(2)
4.2 Regression Models
75(1)
4.3 Volatility
76(3)
4.4 The Lognormal Distribution
79(2)
4.5 Volatility and the Firm
81(2)
Bibliography
82(1)
5 Derivatives
83(20)
5.1 Futures, Forwards and Options
83(4)
5.2 The Replicating Portfolio and Risk-Neutral Valuation
87(3)
5.3 A Model for Asset Prices
90(2)
5.4 The Black--Scholes Formula
92(2)
5.5 Numerical Techniques
94(9)
5.5.1 Monte Carlo Simulation
94(3)
5.5.2 The Binomial and Trinomial Method
97(5)
Bibliography
102(1)
6 Derivative Model Applications
103(24)
6.1 Spot Price Models
103(4)
6.1.1 Geometric Brownian Motion
103(1)
6.1.2 Mean Reversion
104(2)
6.1.3 Jumps and Seasonal Patterns
106(1)
6.2 Stochastic Volatility
107(3)
6.3 Forward Curve Models
110(5)
6.3.1 A Single Factor Model for the Forward Curve
111(2)
6.3.2 The Dynamics of the Forward Curve
113(1)
6.3.3 The Relationships Between Forward Curve and Spot Price Models
113(2)
6.4 Convertible Bonds
115(4)
6.5 Compound Options
119(3)
6.6 Model Risk
122(5)
Bibliography
124(3)
Part III The Analysis of Investments, Transformation and Value
127(88)
7 Platforms, Data and Analytics
129(18)
7.1 Platforms
129(4)
7.2 Cloud Computing
133(1)
7.3 Artificial Intelligence
134(1)
7.4 Quantum Computing
135(1)
7.5 Data
136(1)
7.6 Analytical Management
137(1)
7.7 IT Investments
138(3)
7.8 Patent Options
141(6)
Bibliography
143(4)
8 Energy
147(34)
8.1 The Global Energy Markets
147(4)
8.2 The Transformation of the Energy Sector
151(3)
8.3 Natural Gas and Renewables
154(4)
8.4 Energy Statistics
158(13)
8.4.1 The Schwartz Single Factor Model
158(1)
8.4.2 Schwartz Single Factor Futures and Forward Pricing
159(1)
8.4.3 Volatility
160(1)
8.4.4 Correlation
161(1)
8.4.5 Simulating Mean Reversion
162(1)
8.4.6 Estimating the Mean Reversion Rates
162(1)
8.4.7 The Jump Parameters
163(1)
8.4.8 The Half-Life of a Mean Reverting Process
164(1)
8.4.9 Energy Spot Price Model Simulation
165(1)
8.4.10 Wind Power Statistics
166(5)
8.5 Natural Gas Generation Valuation
171(10)
8.5.1 Overview
171(1)
8.5.2 Energy Forward Curves
172(2)
8.5.3 Energy Derivatives
174(1)
8.5.4 Energy Spread Options
175(1)
8.5.5 Natural Gas Peaking Power Plant Valuation
176(2)
8.5.6 Energy Analysis and Valuation
178(2)
Bibliography
180(1)
9 Pharmaceuticals and Biotechnology
181(16)
9.1 Overview
181(1)
9.2 New Drug Development
182(1)
9.3 Valuation
183(4)
9.3.1 The Revenues
184(1)
9.3.2 The Research and Development Costs
184(2)
9.3.3 The Cost of Capital
186(1)
9.4 NPV Valuation
187(1)
9.5 The Expected NPV Method
188(1)
9.6 The Real Options Method
189(8)
Bibliography
195(2)
10 A Growth Firm
197(8)
10.1 Overview
197(1)
10.2 The Valuation of Growth
198(1)
10.3 A Growth Case Study
199(1)
10.4 Growth Options
200(2)
10.5 A Growth Option Case Study
202(3)
Bibliography
204(1)
11 Firm Transformation and Divesture
205(10)
11.1 Industry Decline
205(1)
11.2 Strategies in Declining Industries
206(1)
11.3 Industry Decline and Transformation
206(2)
11.4 Investor Valuation of the Abandonment Option
208(3)
11.5 An Abandonment Option Case Study
211(4)
Bibliography
214(1)
Index 215
Jamie Rogers is a finance professional based in New York, USA. He has extensive experience in valuation, market risk management, analytics, and quantitative finance across equities, fixed income, currencies, commodities and energy within investment banking, big four accounting and advisory. He holds a Bachelor of Commerce from the University of NSW, Sydney, Australia.