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Part I Strategy, Value and Risk |
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1 | (70) |
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3 | (26) |
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3 | (1) |
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1.2 The External Environment |
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4 | (12) |
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1.2.1 Technology and Innovation |
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4 | (3) |
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7 | (5) |
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1.2.3 Industry and Globalization |
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12 | (2) |
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1.2.4 Industry and Climate Change |
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14 | (2) |
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1.3 Transformation and the Firm |
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16 | (13) |
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1.3.1 Innovation and the Firm |
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16 | (2) |
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1.3.2 Industry Boundaries |
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18 | (2) |
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1.3.3 Strategy and the Environment |
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20 | (2) |
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22 | (2) |
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Appendix: Classifying Industry Sectors Today |
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24 | (1) |
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25 | (4) |
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29 | (34) |
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29 | (1) |
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2.2 The Accounting Foundations |
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30 | (13) |
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31 | (3) |
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34 | (3) |
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2.2.3 Residual Earnings and Free Cash Flows |
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37 | (1) |
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2.2.4 Intangible Assets and Intellectual Property |
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38 | (1) |
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39 | (4) |
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2.3 Corporate Investments |
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43 | (10) |
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43 | (1) |
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44 | (1) |
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2.3.3 The Net Present Value Rule |
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45 | (1) |
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46 | (1) |
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2.3.5 Valuing Real Options |
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47 | (3) |
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2.3.6 Types of Real Options |
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50 | (3) |
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53 | (5) |
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53 | (1) |
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2.4.2 Theories of Firm Value |
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54 | (1) |
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2.4.3 Developments in the Theories of Firm Value |
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55 | (3) |
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2.5 Optimizing the Firm Structure |
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58 | (5) |
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59 | (1) |
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60 | (3) |
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63 | (8) |
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63 | (2) |
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3.2 Corporate Risk Management |
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65 | (2) |
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67 | (1) |
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68 | (3) |
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69 | (2) |
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Part II Quantitative Analytics |
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71 | (56) |
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73 | (10) |
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73 | (2) |
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75 | (1) |
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76 | (3) |
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4.4 The Lognormal Distribution |
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79 | (2) |
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4.5 Volatility and the Firm |
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81 | (2) |
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82 | (1) |
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83 | (20) |
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5.1 Futures, Forwards and Options |
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83 | (4) |
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5.2 The Replicating Portfolio and Risk-Neutral Valuation |
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87 | (3) |
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5.3 A Model for Asset Prices |
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90 | (2) |
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5.4 The Black--Scholes Formula |
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92 | (2) |
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94 | (9) |
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5.5.1 Monte Carlo Simulation |
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94 | (3) |
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5.5.2 The Binomial and Trinomial Method |
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97 | (5) |
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102 | (1) |
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6 Derivative Model Applications |
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103 | (24) |
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103 | (4) |
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6.1.1 Geometric Brownian Motion |
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103 | (1) |
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104 | (2) |
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6.1.3 Jumps and Seasonal Patterns |
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106 | (1) |
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6.2 Stochastic Volatility |
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107 | (3) |
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110 | (5) |
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6.3.1 A Single Factor Model for the Forward Curve |
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111 | (2) |
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6.3.2 The Dynamics of the Forward Curve |
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113 | (1) |
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6.3.3 The Relationships Between Forward Curve and Spot Price Models |
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113 | (2) |
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115 | (4) |
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119 | (3) |
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122 | (5) |
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124 | (3) |
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Part III The Analysis of Investments, Transformation and Value |
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127 | (88) |
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7 Platforms, Data and Analytics |
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129 | (18) |
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129 | (4) |
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133 | (1) |
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7.3 Artificial Intelligence |
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134 | (1) |
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135 | (1) |
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136 | (1) |
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7.6 Analytical Management |
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137 | (1) |
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138 | (3) |
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141 | (6) |
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143 | (4) |
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147 | (34) |
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8.1 The Global Energy Markets |
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147 | (4) |
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8.2 The Transformation of the Energy Sector |
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151 | (3) |
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8.3 Natural Gas and Renewables |
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154 | (4) |
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158 | (13) |
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8.4.1 The Schwartz Single Factor Model |
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158 | (1) |
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8.4.2 Schwartz Single Factor Futures and Forward Pricing |
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159 | (1) |
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160 | (1) |
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161 | (1) |
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8.4.5 Simulating Mean Reversion |
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162 | (1) |
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8.4.6 Estimating the Mean Reversion Rates |
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162 | (1) |
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8.4.7 The Jump Parameters |
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163 | (1) |
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8.4.8 The Half-Life of a Mean Reverting Process |
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164 | (1) |
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8.4.9 Energy Spot Price Model Simulation |
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165 | (1) |
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8.4.10 Wind Power Statistics |
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166 | (5) |
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8.5 Natural Gas Generation Valuation |
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171 | (10) |
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171 | (1) |
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8.5.2 Energy Forward Curves |
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172 | (2) |
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174 | (1) |
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8.5.4 Energy Spread Options |
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175 | (1) |
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8.5.5 Natural Gas Peaking Power Plant Valuation |
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176 | (2) |
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8.5.6 Energy Analysis and Valuation |
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178 | (2) |
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180 | (1) |
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9 Pharmaceuticals and Biotechnology |
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181 | (16) |
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181 | (1) |
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182 | (1) |
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183 | (4) |
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184 | (1) |
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9.3.2 The Research and Development Costs |
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184 | (2) |
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9.3.3 The Cost of Capital |
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186 | (1) |
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187 | (1) |
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9.5 The Expected NPV Method |
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188 | (1) |
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9.6 The Real Options Method |
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189 | (8) |
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195 | (2) |
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197 | (8) |
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197 | (1) |
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10.2 The Valuation of Growth |
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198 | (1) |
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199 | (1) |
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200 | (2) |
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10.5 A Growth Option Case Study |
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202 | (3) |
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204 | (1) |
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11 Firm Transformation and Divesture |
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205 | (10) |
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205 | (1) |
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11.2 Strategies in Declining Industries |
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206 | (1) |
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11.3 Industry Decline and Transformation |
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206 | (2) |
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11.4 Investor Valuation of the Abandonment Option |
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208 | (3) |
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11.5 An Abandonment Option Case Study |
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211 | (4) |
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214 | (1) |
Index |
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215 | |