Preface |
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xxiii | |
Acknowledgments |
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xxvii | |
Note to Instructors |
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xxix | |
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Unit 1 Motivations and Drivers |
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3 | (28) |
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3 | (1) |
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1-2 Introduction: Dimensions of Transportation |
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3 | (2) |
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1-3 Transportation and Sustainability: Historical and Contemporary Aspects |
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5 | (7) |
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1-3-1 Definition and Interpretation of the Term "Sustainability" |
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6 | (1) |
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1-3-2 Historical Evolution of Transportation through Three Phases |
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7 | (5) |
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1-4 Transportation in the Context of Sustainable Development |
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12 | (7) |
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1-4-1 Relationship between Prosperity and Access to Modern Transportation |
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14 | (2) |
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1-4-2 Discussion: Contrasting Mainstream and Deep Ecologic Perspectives |
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16 | (3) |
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1-5 An Overview of Challenges for Sustainable Transportation |
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19 | (7) |
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1-5-1 A Scenario for Sustainable Transportation in the Twenty-First Century |
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22 | (4) |
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1-6 Contents and Organization of This Book |
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26 | (2) |
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28 | (3) |
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29 | (1) |
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29 | (1) |
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30 | (1) |
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2 Background on Energy Security and Climate Change |
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31 | (36) |
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31 | (1) |
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2-2 Introduction: The Role of Transportation in Energy Consumption |
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31 | (9) |
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2-2-1 Relationship between Energy Consumption and Wealth |
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33 | (1) |
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2-2-2 Historic Growth in World Energy Consumption |
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34 | (2) |
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2-2-3 Transportation Energy Consumption in the United States |
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36 | (4) |
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2-3 Fuel Supplies for Meeting Transportation Energy Requirements |
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40 | (12) |
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2-3-1 Pathways for Annual Production of Nonrenewable Energy Sources |
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42 | (4) |
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2-3-2 Modeling Conventional Oil Resource Pathway Using Cumulative Production Figures |
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46 | (3) |
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2-3-3 Nonconventional Oil and Other Nonconventional Fossil Resources |
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49 | (3) |
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2-4 Transportation Energy Demand, Greenhouse Gas Emissions, and Climate Change |
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52 | (10) |
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2-4-1 Growth in CO2 Emissions and Impacts from Climate Change |
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52 | (4) |
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2-4-2 Role of GHGs in Greenhouse Effect and Climate Change |
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56 | (1) |
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2-4-3 Steps toward Climate Stabilization through CO2 Reduction |
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57 | (5) |
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62 | (5) |
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63 | (1) |
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63 | (1) |
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64 | (3) |
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Unit 2 Tools and Techniques |
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67 | (42) |
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67 | (1) |
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67 | (1) |
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3-3 Fundamentals of the Systems Approach |
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68 | (8) |
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3-3-1 Initial Definitions |
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69 | (2) |
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3-3-2 Steps in the Application of the Systems Approach |
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71 | (1) |
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3-3-3 Examples of the Systems Approach in Action |
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72 | (4) |
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3-4 Systems Tools Focused on Interactions between System Elements |
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76 | (9) |
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3-4-1 Stories, Scenarios, and Models |
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76 | (2) |
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3-4-2 Systems Dynamics Models: Exponential Growth, Saturation, and Causal Loops |
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78 | (7) |
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3-5 Other Systems Tools for Transportation Systems |
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85 | (19) |
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3-5-1 Life-Cycle Analysis |
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86 | (2) |
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3-5-2 Multicriteria Analysis of Energy Systems Decisions |
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88 | (1) |
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3-5-3 Choosing among Alternative Solutions Using Optimization |
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89 | (4) |
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3-5-4 Understanding Contributing Factors to Time-Series Trends Using Divisia Analysis |
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93 | (4) |
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3-5-5 Incorporating Uncertainty into Analysis Using Probabilistic Approaches and Monte Carlo Simulation |
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97 | (4) |
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3-5-6 Kaya Equation: Economic Activity, Energy Consumption, and CO2 Emissions |
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101 | (3) |
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3-5-7 Energy Return on Investment |
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104 | (1) |
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104 | (5) |
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105 | (1) |
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105 | (1) |
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106 | (3) |
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4 Individual Choices and Transportation Demand |
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109 | (52) |
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109 | (1) |
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4-2 Introduction: Why Are We Interested in Understanding Behavior? |
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109 | (1) |
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4-3 Travel Behavior: Demand for Trips and Transportation Choices |
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110 | (1) |
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4-3-1 Energy Requirements for Transportation and Environmental Sustainability |
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111 | (1) |
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4-4 Discrete Choice Models |
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111 | (7) |
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4-4-1 Differentiated Products as Mutually Exclusive, Discrete Alternatives |
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112 | (1) |
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4-4-2 Some Basic Definitions |
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112 | (1) |
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4-4-3 Preferences and Individual Choice Behavior |
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113 | (5) |
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4-5 Overview of Econometric Modeling |
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118 | (2) |
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4-6 Additive Random Utility Maximization |
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120 | (1) |
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120 | (1) |
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4-6-2 The Value of Travel Time Savings |
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121 | (1) |
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4-7 Vehicle Purchase Choices |
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121 | (11) |
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4-7-1 Extended Example: Binary Model of Vehicle Choice |
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123 | (9) |
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4-8 Multinomial Discrete Choice |
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132 | (12) |
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4-8-1 Conditional Logit Model |
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132 | (2) |
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4-8-2 Generalized Extreme Value Models |
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134 | (2) |
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4-8-3 Random Consumer Heterogeneity: Continuous Mixture Models |
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136 | (3) |
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4-8-4 Random Consumer Heterogeneity: Discrete Mixture Models |
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139 | (1) |
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4-8-5 Multinomial Probit Model |
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139 | (3) |
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4-8-6 Addressing Endogeneity: The BLP Model |
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142 | (1) |
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4-8-7 Subjective Probabilities and Bayes Estimators |
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143 | (1) |
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144 | (1) |
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4-10 Modeling Sustainable Choices |
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145 | (7) |
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4-10-1 Adoption of Energy Efficiency in Transportation: Consumer Response to Ultra-Low-Emission Vehicles |
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145 | (3) |
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4-10-2 Vehicle Use: Discrete-Continuous Models |
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148 | (2) |
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4-10-3 Sustainable Mobility Choices |
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150 | (2) |
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4-11 Forecasting and Welfare Analysis |
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152 | (3) |
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4-11-1 Energy and Environmental Policy |
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154 | (1) |
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4-12 Integration of Consumer Demand into Engineering Design |
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155 | (2) |
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4-12-1 Agent-Based Modeling |
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155 | (1) |
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4-12-2 Decision-Based Engineering Design |
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156 | (1) |
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157 | (4) |
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157 | (1) |
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158 | (1) |
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159 | (2) |
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5 Background on Transportation Systems and Vehicle Design |
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161 | (18) |
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161 | (1) |
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161 | (3) |
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5-2-1 Components of a Transportation System |
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161 | (1) |
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5-2-2 Ways of Categorizing Transportation Systems |
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162 | (2) |
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5-3 Units of Measure in Transportation |
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164 | (5) |
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5-3-1 Measures of Capacity and Productivity |
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164 | (2) |
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5-3-2 Units for Measuring Transportation Energy Efficiency |
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166 | (3) |
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5-4 Background on Vehicle Design |
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169 | (7) |
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5-4-1 Criteria for Measuring Vehicle Performance |
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170 | (5) |
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5-4-2 Options for Improving Conventional Vehicle Efficiency |
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175 | (1) |
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5-5 Adaptation of Vehicle Design Equations to Other Modes |
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176 | (1) |
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177 | (2) |
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177 | (1) |
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177 | (1) |
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178 | (1) |
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6 Physical Design of Transportation Facilities |
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179 | (18) |
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179 | (3) |
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182 | (2) |
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184 | (4) |
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188 | (4) |
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192 | (5) |
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192 | (1) |
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192 | (5) |
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Unit 3 Passenger Transportation |
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7 Overview of Passenger Transportation |
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197 | (38) |
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197 | (1) |
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197 | (1) |
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7-3 Recent Developments in Passenger Transportation |
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198 | (7) |
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7-3-1 Limitations of the Automobile-Focused Urban Passenger Transportation System |
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198 | (2) |
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7-3-2 Emergence of an Expanded Approach to Urban Passenger Transportation |
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200 | (2) |
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7-3-3 Contemporary Challenges from Travel Intensity and Energy Consumption |
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202 | (3) |
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7-4 Road Capacity and Roadway Congestion |
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205 | (18) |
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7-4-1 Relationship between Speed, Density, and Flow |
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205 | (2) |
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7-4-2 Greenshields Model of Speed-Density Relationship |
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207 | (5) |
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7-4-3 Effect of Slow-Moving Vehicles on Traffic Flow |
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212 | (5) |
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7-4-4 Effect of Roadway Bottlenecks on Traffic Flow |
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217 | (6) |
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7-5 Passenger Transportation and Intelligent Transportation Systems |
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223 | (12) |
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7-5-1 ITS Architecture and ITS Design |
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224 | (1) |
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7-5-2 ITS Components and Equipment |
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225 | (3) |
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7-5-3 Applications of ITS: Examples from Passenger Transportation Systems |
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228 | (4) |
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232 | (1) |
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233 | (1) |
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233 | (1) |
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233 | (2) |
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8 Public Transportation and Multimodal Solutions |
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235 | (44) |
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235 | (1) |
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235 | (9) |
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8-2-1 Brief History of Public Transportation |
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240 | (1) |
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8-2-2 Challenges for Contemporary Public Transportation Systems |
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241 | (3) |
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8-3 Fundamental Calculations for Public Transportation Systems |
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244 | (12) |
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8-3-1 Grades of Right of Way and Types of Guideways for Routes |
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244 | (3) |
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8-3-2 Design of Public Transportation Routes |
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247 | (5) |
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8-3-3 Urban Land Area Occupied by Public Transportation Systems |
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252 | (4) |
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8-4 Methods to Enhance Public Transportation System Performance |
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256 | (12) |
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8-4-1 Infrastructure Enhancements |
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256 | (4) |
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8-4-2 Service and Operational Enhancements |
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260 | (3) |
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8-4-3 Flexible Routing in Bus Service and Demand Response |
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263 | (2) |
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8-4-4 Potential Impact of Increasing Public Transport Modal Share on Energy Efficiency |
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265 | (3) |
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8-5 Case Study of BRT and LRT: Los Angeles Orange Line |
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268 | (5) |
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8-5-1 General Characteristics of the Orange Line and Modal Options |
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269 | (2) |
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8-5-2 Comparison and Discussion |
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271 | (2) |
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8-6 Future Prospects for Public Transportation |
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273 | (1) |
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274 | (5) |
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274 | (1) |
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275 | (1) |
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276 | (3) |
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9 Personal Mobility and Accessibility |
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279 | (46) |
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279 | (1) |
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279 | (1) |
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9-3 Adjustment to Personal Modal Option |
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280 | (11) |
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9-3-1 Niche Motorized Vehicles |
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281 | (2) |
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9-3-2 Methods to Encourage Diversified Use of Private Cars |
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283 | (2) |
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9-3-3 Self-Driving Cars: Emerging Concept for Automatic Control |
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285 | (1) |
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286 | (5) |
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9-4 Vehicle Sharing: Carsharing and Bikesharing |
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291 | (22) |
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9-4-1 Motivations for Carsharing |
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292 | (3) |
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9-4-2 Recent Innovations in Carsharing: Rental Company, One-Way, and Peer-to-Peer Carsharing |
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295 | (1) |
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9-4-3 Cost of Carshare Usage to Members and Carsharing Organizations |
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296 | (5) |
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9-4-4 Breakeven Distance between Car Ownership and Carsharing |
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301 | (3) |
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9-4-5 Carsharing as a Catalyst for Diversification of Modal Choices |
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304 | (3) |
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9-4-6 Policy Measures to Support Carsharing |
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307 | (2) |
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9-4-7 Future Prospects for Carsharing |
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309 | (1) |
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9-4-8 Overview of Bikesharing |
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310 | (3) |
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9-5 Telecommuting and Other Substitutes for Mobility |
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313 | (6) |
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9-5-1 Telecommuting Benefits and Challenges |
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314 | (1) |
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9-5-2 Evaluation of Telecommuting: A Case Study |
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315 | (3) |
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9-5-3 Opportunities for Telecommuting and Future Prospects |
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318 | (1) |
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9-6 Discussion of Personal Mobility and Accessibility Options: Case of Portland, Oregon |
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319 | (1) |
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320 | (5) |
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321 | (1) |
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321 | (1) |
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322 | (3) |
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10 Intercity Passenger Transportation |
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325 | (40) |
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325 | (1) |
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325 | (5) |
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10-2-1 Comparison of Intercity Modal Split: Case of Japan and United States |
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326 | (2) |
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10-2-2 Modal Comparison of Delivered Energy Intensity |
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328 | (2) |
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330 | (14) |
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10-3-1 Trainset and Right-of-Way Design Considerations |
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330 | (1) |
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10-3-2 Historical Development and Current Status of HSR |
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331 | (2) |
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10-3-3 HSR in Comparison to Other Modes |
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333 | (4) |
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337 | (2) |
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10-3-5 Energy, Cost, and Emissions Analysis of HSR |
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339 | (5) |
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344 | (11) |
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10-4-1 Aviation Efficiency: Recent Advances and Current Challenges |
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344 | (1) |
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10-4-2 Commercial Aircraft Performance, Energy Requirements, and Emissions |
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345 | (6) |
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10-4-3 Aviation Best Practice: Maximizing Utilization through Yield Management |
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351 | (4) |
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10-5 Other Intercity Alternatives |
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355 | (2) |
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10-6 Discussion: Directions for Sustainable Intercity Travel |
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357 | (1) |
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358 | (7) |
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358 | (1) |
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359 | (1) |
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360 | (5) |
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Unit 4 Freight Transportation |
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11 Overview of Freight Transportation |
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365 | (28) |
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365 | (1) |
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365 | (8) |
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11-2-1 Overall Growth in Freight Activity and Change in Modal Share |
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366 | (3) |
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11-2-2 Commodity Perspective on Freight Activity: Ton-Miles versus Economic Value |
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369 | (1) |
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11-2-3 Overview of Energy Consumption and Environmental Impact |
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370 | (3) |
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11-2-4 Intercity versus Urban Freight |
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373 | (1) |
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11-3 Total Logistics Cost and Economic Order Quantity Model |
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373 | (4) |
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11-3-1 Components of the EOQ Model |
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374 | (2) |
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11-3-2 Implications of Total Logistics Cost for Sustainability |
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376 | (1) |
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11-4 Disaggregation of Freight Energy Consumption |
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377 | (10) |
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11-4-1 Mode- and Commodity-Based Approaches to Understanding Freight Energy Use |
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378 | (1) |
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11-4-2 Assessment of Freight Energy Use at a Modal Level |
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379 | (2) |
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11-4-3 Assessment of Freight Energy Use at a Commodity Level |
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381 | (6) |
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11-5 Discussion: Toward Greater Sustainability in Freight Transportation |
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387 | (1) |
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11-5-1 Greater Sustainability through Increased Stakeholder Involvement |
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387 | (1) |
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388 | (5) |
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389 | (1) |
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390 | (1) |
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390 | (3) |
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12 Modal and Supply Chain Management Approaches |
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393 | (36) |
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393 | (1) |
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393 | (1) |
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394 | (10) |
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12-3-1 Description of Approaches to Reducing Truck Impact |
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396 | (5) |
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12-3-2 Implementation of Intramodal Improvements: Penetration Issues |
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401 | (3) |
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404 | (12) |
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12-4-1 Reasons for Improved Performance from Environment-Friendly Modes |
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406 | (5) |
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12-4-2 System-Wide Impact of Modal Shifting: Example of Intermodal Rail |
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411 | (5) |
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12-5 Supply Chain Management Approach |
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416 | (9) |
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12-5-1 Definition of Supply Chain and Supply Chain Management |
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417 | (2) |
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12-5-2 Implementation of the Supply Chain Approach to Improving Sustainability |
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419 | (1) |
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12-5-3 Case Study: Benchmarking Study of Food and Beverage Sector in the United Kingdom |
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420 | (5) |
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425 | (4) |
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426 | (1) |
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426 | (1) |
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427 | (2) |
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13 Spatial and Geographic Aspects of Freight Transportation |
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429 | (38) |
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429 | (1) |
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429 | (1) |
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13-3 Background on the Study of Freight Spatial Patterns |
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430 | (9) |
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13-3-1 Availability of Data and Creation of Metrics |
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432 | (2) |
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13-3-2 The Role of Commodity Type and Value in Spatial Patterns |
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434 | (5) |
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13-4 Spatial Spreading and Spatial Redistribution: Paper Sector Case Study |
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439 | (16) |
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13-4-1 General Background on Pulp and Paper Sector |
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439 | (6) |
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13-4-2 Creation and Solution of National Optimization Model to Quantify Potential Transportation Reduction |
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445 | (6) |
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13-4-3 Alternative Model to Minimize Energy Usage |
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451 | (4) |
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13-5 Discussion: Prospects for Changes in Freight Spatial Patterns |
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455 | (5) |
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13-5-1 Spatial Redistribution Applied to Several Possible Sectors |
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456 | (3) |
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13-5-2 Limitations on Ability to Redistribute Freight Spatial Patterns |
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459 | (1) |
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460 | (7) |
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460 | (1) |
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461 | (1) |
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461 | (6) |
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Unit 5 Energy and Environment |
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14 Overview of Alternative Fuels and Platforms |
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467 | (38) |
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467 | (1) |
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467 | (3) |
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14-2-1 Responses to Improved Efficiency: Causal Loop Diagram |
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468 | (1) |
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14-2-2 Transition to Alternative Energy as Transcendental Opportunity |
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468 | (2) |
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14-3 Overview of Alternative Energy Endpoints |
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470 | (12) |
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14-3-1 Definition of Terms |
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471 | (1) |
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14-3-2 List of Available Energy Technology Endpoints |
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472 | (3) |
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14-3-3 Gaps in the Provision of a Complete Technological Solution |
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475 | (1) |
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14-3-4 Interactions between Emerging and Incumbent Technologies |
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476 | (6) |
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14-4 Alternatives to ICEVs Today: Alternative Fuels and Propulsion Platforms |
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482 | (13) |
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14-4-1 Hybrid-Electric Vehicles |
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482 | (5) |
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14-4-2 Hybrids in Comparison to Other Propulsion Alternatives |
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487 | (4) |
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14-4-3 Advanced ICEV Technology: High-Efficiency Diesel Engine Platform |
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491 | (1) |
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14-4-4 Well-to-Wheel Analysis as a Means of Comparing Alternatives |
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492 | (3) |
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14-5 Understanding Transition Issues |
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495 | (5) |
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14-5-1 Limitations of Comparative Static Analysis |
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496 | (4) |
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14-5-2 Transition to Other Advanced Fuels and Drivetrain Platforms |
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500 | (1) |
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500 | (5) |
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501 | (1) |
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501 | (1) |
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502 | (3) |
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15 Electricity and Hydrogen as Alternative Fuels |
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505 | (58) |
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505 | (1) |
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505 | (1) |
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506 | (13) |
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15-3-1 Brief History of EV Development |
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506 | (1) |
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15-3-2 Electric Vehicle Drivetrain Design Considerations |
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507 | (3) |
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15-3-3 Model of EV Range and Cost as Function of Battery Capacity |
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510 | (5) |
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15-3-4 Advantages and Disadvantages of EVs Compared to Alternatives |
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515 | (1) |
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15-3-5 Extending Vehicle Range with Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles |
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516 | (3) |
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15-4 Background on Electric Grid Function |
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519 | (10) |
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15-4-1 Composition of Generation Sources and Grid Components |
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519 | (7) |
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15-4-2 Role of Nonfossil Generating Assets |
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526 | (1) |
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15-4-3 Short-Term Storage Options for Extra Electricity Generated |
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527 | (2) |
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15-5 Integrating Transportation Energy Demand and the Grid |
|
|
529 | (17) |
|
15-5-1 Near-Term Opportunities for Electrical Charging from the Grid |
|
|
529 | (7) |
|
15-5-2 Integration of EVs with Renewables over the Longer Term |
|
|
536 | (7) |
|
15-5-3 Electric Vehicles with Vehicle-to-Grid Capability |
|
|
543 | (3) |
|
15-6 Hydrogen Fuel Cell Systems and Vehicles |
|
|
546 | (9) |
|
15-6-1 Function of the Hydrogen Fuel Cell and Measurement of Fuel Cell Efficiency |
|
|
547 | (5) |
|
15-6-2 Actual Losses and Efficiency in Real-World Fuel Cells |
|
|
552 | (1) |
|
15-6-3 Implementing Fuel Cells in Vehicles |
|
|
552 | (1) |
|
15-6-4 Advantages and Disadvantages of the Hydrogen Fuel Cell Vehicle |
|
|
553 | (2) |
|
15-7 Concluding Discussion of Options: EVs, PHEVs, V2G, and HFCVs |
|
|
555 | (3) |
|
15-7-1 Advantages and Disadvantages of Adding V2G Capability |
|
|
557 | (1) |
|
15-7-2 Comparison of Electricity and Hydrogen as Alternative Energy Sources |
|
|
557 | (1) |
|
|
558 | (5) |
|
|
559 | (1) |
|
|
560 | (1) |
|
|
561 | (2) |
|
16 Bioenergy Resources and Systems |
|
|
563 | (34) |
|
|
563 | (1) |
|
|
563 | (5) |
|
|
564 | (1) |
|
16-2-2 Net Energy Balance Ratio and Life-Cycle Analysis |
|
|
565 | (2) |
|
16-2-3 Productivity of Fuels per Unit of Crop Land per Year |
|
|
567 | (1) |
|
|
568 | (5) |
|
16-3-1 Sources of Biomass |
|
|
569 | (2) |
|
16-3-2 Pretreatment Technologies |
|
|
571 | (2) |
|
|
573 | (2) |
|
|
573 | (1) |
|
|
573 | (1) |
|
|
574 | (1) |
|
16-4-4 Carboxylate Platform |
|
|
575 | (1) |
|
|
575 | (7) |
|
16-5-1 Sugarcane-to-Ethanol |
|
|
577 | (1) |
|
16-5-2 Corn Grain-to-Ethanol |
|
|
578 | (3) |
|
16-5-3 Cellulosic Ethanol |
|
|
581 | (1) |
|
|
581 | (1) |
|
|
582 | (2) |
|
16-6-1 Production Processes |
|
|
583 | (1) |
|
16-6-2 Life-Cycle Assessment |
|
|
584 | (1) |
|
16-7 Methane and Hydrogen (Biogas) |
|
|
584 | (5) |
|
16-7-1 Anaerobic Digestion |
|
|
585 | (3) |
|
16-7-2 Anaerobic Hydrogen-Producing Systems |
|
|
588 | (1) |
|
16-8 Bioenergy Integration into Transportation Energy Supply |
|
|
589 | (3) |
|
16-8-1 Early Examples of Prototype Applications |
|
|
591 | (1) |
|
|
592 | (5) |
|
|
592 | (1) |
|
|
593 | (1) |
|
|
594 | (3) |
|
17 Conclusion: Toward Sustainable Transportation Systems |
|
|
597 | (40) |
|
|
597 | (1) |
|
|
597 | (1) |
|
17-3 Other Transportation System-Wide Issues |
|
|
598 | (8) |
|
17-3-1 Transportation and Air Quality |
|
|
598 | (3) |
|
17-3-2 Transportation Security Management |
|
|
601 | (2) |
|
17-3-3 Extreme Weather Events and Pre-Event Planning |
|
|
603 | (1) |
|
17-3-4 Transportation and Storage of Hazardous Materials |
|
|
604 | (2) |
|
17-4 Pathways to a Sustainable Transportation Future: Urban, National, and Global Examples |
|
|
606 | (22) |
|
17-4-1 An Example of Future Adaptation of a Metropolitan Area |
|
|
606 | (3) |
|
17-4-2 Example of U.S. National Scenario to 2050: Passenger and Freight Sectors |
|
|
609 | (7) |
|
17-4-3 U.S. Freight Transformation to 2050 |
|
|
616 | (6) |
|
17-4-4 Example of Global Transformation to 2100: Transportation Growth with CO2 Phase-Out |
|
|
622 | (3) |
|
17-4-5 Discussion of Future Scenarios |
|
|
625 | (3) |
|
17-5 Concluding Discussion of the Conflict between Development and Environment |
|
|
628 | (3) |
|
17-5-1 Overcoming the Conflict by Closing the Loop on Energy and Material Flows |
|
|
629 | (2) |
|
17-6 The Transportation Professional's Role in Creating Sustainable Transportation Systems |
|
|
631 | (3) |
|
17-6-1 Roles for Transportation Professionals Outside of Formal Work |
|
|
632 | (2) |
|
|
634 | (3) |
|
|
635 | (1) |
|
|
636 | (1) |
|
|
636 | (1) |
A Common Conversions |
|
637 | (2) |
B Online Appendices |
|
639 | (2) |
Index |
|
641 | |